US & World News

Wall Street is hesitant to open Thursday, the fears generated by a warning from Moody's on Banks are offset by good U.S. statistics of the day.

In early trade, the Dow Jones gained 0.15% to 12,800.44 points. The Standard & Poor's lost 0.02% to 1,342.91 points while the Nasdaq composite yield 0.06% to 2914.08 points.

Moody's warned on Thursday that it could lower the credit ratings of 17 major global banks and 114 financial institutions in Europe, reflecting the impact of the crisis of European sovereign debt on the financial system.

The KBW bank index lost 0.27%. The S & P financials yields 0.2%.

The weekly jobless claims fell against all odds in the United States during the week to February 11, to 348,000, or a low of nearly four years, 361,000 against revised) the previous week, said Thursday the Labor Department.

The number of housing starts rose more than expected in January, thanks to a sharp rise in rental housing projects, which raised hopes that the real estate sector, there is little time still devastated, finally brings its contribution to growth. 

The producer prices rose 0.1% in January in the U.S., due to lower prices in the food and energy, but the prices of staples have risen twice more than expected, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department.

General Motors on Thursday posted a profit below expectations for the fourth quarter of 2011, the positive effect related to the results achieved in North America have been offset by a weaker performance overseas.

The action, however, earns 4.9% to 26.16 dollars.

The three-party coalition government in Greece have agreed on a set of new austerity measures to implement in return for a second international aid plan ; Athens.

This agreement was confirmed by Mario Draghi, the chairman of the European Central Bank (ECB), itself informed by the Prime Minister of Greece Lucas Papademos.

"A few minutes ago, I received a call from the Greek Prime Minister said that agreement had been concluded and approved by the major parties," said Mario Draghi in Frankfurt.

These austerity measures are required by the ECB, the European Commission and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to release a second with at least 130 billion euros to avoid bankruptcy in Greece. 

The negotiations between the socialist PASOK, New Democracy conservatives and the far-right LAOS have been difficult because of the hostility displayed by much of the population, already subjected to a rigorous treatment drastically since 2010.

The Institute for International Finance (IIF) said Wednesday that the Greek government and its private creditors are close to final agreement on debt restructuring of the country, a conclusion is expected this week. "We are close to finalizing a voluntary debt exchange as part publicly exposed earlier this week by Jean-Claude Juncker in his capacity as President of the Eurogroup," have clared leaders Ifi. "We expect to conclude next week as discussions on other topics continues." Tuesday, bankers and politicians had suggested that the talks between Greece and its private creditors could come Wednesday. The prospect of such an agreement has contributed to the rise in world stock markets.

Ahold announced Monday a series of measures to accelerate growth, new cost cuts and a boost to the dividend, the Dutch retailer hoping to convince investors of the strength of his model.

While the group has performed better than its commercial rivals in recent quarters, as Ahold trades at a discount to many other names in the industry, because of the feeling that the company is too exposed to low growth markets.

Ahold, owner of the first supermarket chain in the Netherlands Albert Heijn, produces some 60% of its sales in the U.S., with retailers Stop & Shop, Giant-Landover and Giant-Carlisle.

The company last week released the results better than expected in the third quarter with a 5% increase in earnings, rising food prices and market share gains have boosted sales despite difficult market conditions .

Among the measures included in a presentation to investors, including the group intends to triple its online sales, to 1.5 billion euros, and open at least 150 stores over the next five years.

Specifically, Ahold wants to open at least 50 supermarkets in Belgium after the results of two test stores already established in the country.

European shares were down in early trade Friday, the pressure on interest rates fueling fears that some fragile countries in the euro zone no longer be able to refinance at an affordable cost.

At 9:03, Paris passed under the 3000 points and lost 0.83% to 2985.19 points.

At the same moent, London lost 0.95%, Frankfurt and Milan 0.83% 0.73%. The Euro Stoxx 50 index of the principal values ​​of the euro gave up 0.69%.

The Spanish 10-year rate rose above 7% (7.11%) and Italy's is 6.94% while the German Bund yield the same maturity is around 1.87% and that of the French OAT around 3.6%.

Wall Street finished sharply lower Monday, the initial enthusiasm born of the EU summit last week's fading from investors who question now no longer on how to resolve the debt crisis in the euro area but their use.

Still Wall Street has done its best month since 1991 and many analysts believe that the worst case scenario is ruled out at this time in Europe, the stock market is ripe for a further rise, investors are turning their attention to Chinese statistics and the U.S. better than expected.

The values ​​of natural resources have suffered from the fact that the dollar reached a peak three months against the yen as a result of intervention by the Bank of Japan to roll back the domestic currency.The Nasdaq Composite yield 52.74 points (1.93%) to 2684.41.

Of the month, the Dow shows a gain of 9.5%, the S & P by 10.8% and the Nasdaq 11.1%.

The new concerns generated by the European debt situation are what feed the bankrupt broker MF Global Holdings derivatives, an event that affected financial stocks in particular.

The latter, who had engaged in heavy positions on European sovereign debt, filed for bankruptcy after the breakdown of negotiations to sell assets to Interactive Brokers Group.

MF Global transactions have been suspended. Interactive Brokers has closed up 1.05%.

Values, the S & P Natural Resources lost 4.2%.

The French left the presidency of the European Central Bank on October 31. It gives way to the Italian Mario Draghi. Record of eight years of a presidency marked by the seal of the crisis. The mandate of Jean-Claude Trichet President of the ECB ended October 31, 2011

The least we can say is that the end of term Jean-Claude Trichet has not been easy. The French left the European Central Bank (ECB), after eight years of presidency, when the euro area is experiencing a critical step – critical? – Of its crisis. For if the Europe Agreement birth Thursday morning in pain is an important step in the short term, it does not eliminate all long-term risks of contagion from the debt crisis.

We do not worship nor hate Jean-Claude Trichet, as it is more consensual than cleaving – it boasts of never having been outvoted by the Governing Council of the ECB. We respect him.For he succeeded in making the institution of Frankfurt an economic and political front. The markets were suspended in any of his words at monthly conferences of the ECB on interest rates. And since Europe is in crisis, he took part in EU summits as well as leaders and heads of government of member states of Euroland.

The route of Jean-Claude Trichet

1942: Born in Lyon

1969-1971: ENA

1978-1981: Economic Advisor, Valerie Giscard d'Estaing

1986-1987: Director of the Office of Edouard Balladur, Minister of Finance

1987-1993: Director of Treasury

1993-2003: Governor of the Banque de France

2003-2011: President of the European Central Bank

Of the review of eight years as president of the ECB, it can be fierce independence vis-à-vis the Franco-German policies.No sooner did he take the levers of the ECB in November 2003, accusing Jacques Chirac and Gerhard Schröder to gut the Stability Pact. In 2010, he opposed the will of Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel to involve private investors in the rescue of Greece. But we remember also its renewed calls for member states to implement a real economic governance of the euro area. Not to mention his extraordinary responsiveness during the financial crisis in August 2007 first, then in October 2008, noting that the interbank market is frozen, the ECB is the first to lend banks as much liquidity as they wish.

The strong euro, the result of the fight against inflation

Two of his actions, however, are highly controversial.

French deputies have reduced by nearly 1, 5 billion to 80.321 billion, the deficit in the draft budget law for 2012 at the conclusion of the review, Monday, the first part, the revenue .

The deficit in the original was 81.772 billion euros.

MEPs will vote on Tuesday by a solemn vote of the whole of this first part of the finance bill that the Senate will consider in turn from 17 November.

The level of the deficit is likely to change again with the review by members of the review of the second part of the budget, the expenditure, then the entire text by Senators.

Investors weary of the impact of the crisis in the euro area financial markets will have something else to put in their mouths this week: the results of business.

As each "earnings season" quarterly, the aluminum producer Alcoa, which will open the ball, his numbers are expected in the third quarter after the close of Wall Street Tuesday.

Business performance and prospects announcing they are considered an important barometer of the state of the global economy and are also likely to give an indication of the impact of the crisis in the euro area on profits companies.

But, having risen sharply over the whole of last week, Wall Street may have difficulty continuing to rise even if corporate earnings are better than expected.

Technical analysts have said in effect that the moving average of 50 days S & P 500, currently at 1178 points, could represent a significant resistance.

In the past week, the S & P benchmark for fund managers, has gained 2.1% to 1155.46 points, buoyed by the feeling that European leaders are now determined to solve the problems of their banks weakened by the debt crisis.

Nicolas Sarkozy traveled to Berlin on Sunday for talks with Angela Merkel of crisis, with a priority to overcome their differences on how to recapitalize European banks.

"Over the next three weeks, attention will focus on results – even if the situation in Europe will always be present in people's minds," said Ken Polcari, an analyst at ICAP Equities.

In addition to Alcoa, next week will also see the results of PepsiCo, Google, JPMorgan Chase and Mattel.

CONSERVATIVE ANALYST ESTIMATES

In light of the debt crisis of the area, but also signs announcing a slowdown in the global economy, many corporate earnings forecasts were revised downward by analysts in recent months .

"The forecast for the quarter just ended were very conservative so there are chances that companies do at least as well as the consensus," said Marc Pado, technical analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald.

In terms of macroeconomic indicators, market players expect including the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve, retail sales for the month of September and the feeling of households for the month of October, according to Index Thomson Reuters / University of Michigan.

The latest U.S. statistics have been rather better than expected, which has banished the specter of a return to recession in the United States and contributed to the rebound on Wall Street last week.

But, and this also applies to any positive impression left by the business results, although some indicators of the coming week confirm this trend, the positive effect could be negated if further deterioration of the debt crisis the euro area.

European shares finished higher Monday, with the financial sector, buoyed by speculation of lower interest rates by the European Central Bank (ECB) and new measures to support banks.

However, markets have reduced their earnings during the afternoon for lack of more precise statements confirming the rumors.

The CAC 40 index finished up 1.75% to 2859.34 points (final closing), while London has been 0.45%, 2.87% Frankfurt, Milan and 3.32% EuroStoxx 50 2.84%.

The index of the banking sector has been 3.57% and 6.42% of the insurers, with an increase of 8.18% for Axa, from 5.44% for Societe Generale and BNP Paribas for 3.99%.