Some financial institutions have never cleared the drachma of their computer systems after the adoption of the euro by Greece in 2001. They would be ready in a flash if the problem of debt forced the country to return to the good old banknotes and coins denominated in drachmas.

In any case, banks are accustomed to change: they have managed the transition of financial markets to the euro in 1999 and the emergence of currency as the Estonian kroon (up ; its replacement by the euro in 2011) and the Kazakh tenge with the breakup of the Soviet Union.

Moreover, it stirs behind the scenes since 2009, when the onset of the debt crisis in Greece, says Hartmut Grossman, American society ICS Risk Advisors works with banks Wall Street.

"Many companies, particularly in Europe and also here, studying it for a long time," said Hartmut Grossman. "All financial institutions are prepared for this eventuality. The departure of Greece in the euro area is not a new idea."

The European Union says it wants to keep the euro in Greece. Polls show that the Greeks want to keep the single currency. But they also voted last Sunday for parties opposed to the bailout of the EU and the International Monetary Fund, which has again raised doubts about the maintenance of the country within the Ten- Sept.

EXCHANGE CONTROL

If Greece leaving the euro, it certainly would impose exchange controls, say bankers, which would not prevent dealings in the new currency.

"The rooms specializing in foreign exchange markets can be ready fast enough. It depends on exactly how to pass out of the euro area, "said Lewis O'Donald, chief risk officer of London-based investment bank Nomura Japan

.. The currency ……. not freely tradable, as the Chinese yuan, followed in markets other than through the use of derivatives such as contracts term for example

. If Greece chooses a fixed exchange rate, everything will depend on the exchange ratio used. If the government chooses a euro for a new drachma, such parity would not be sustainable for very long and would involve major losses for banks Banks

. é ; tudié opportunities to protect themselves but few have taken concrete steps

. "Banks are very, trè s reluctant to start shouting fire. They know what's going on (would) and what would a panic, "said a London lawyer to advise financial institutions

. Most people just check the law applicable to their contracts, are covered against defects and examine all the legal problems that an outflow of Greece to the euro could raise … Simulations

…… have been made. But we do not really know how to operate an output

…. ….. "For transactions denominated in euro, what will their status in case of change in the nature of this currency?" asks Miles Kennedy, a partner at PricewaterhouseCoopers

.

The housing market is still recovering from nine United States. Sales of new single in February fell for the second consecutive month, according to figures released Friday by the Washington Department of Commerce. They fell 1.6% from January, seasonally adjusted data, to 313,000 annualized transactions. He had declined by 5.4% the previous month (revised up).

Sales of new single are depressed for several years in the United States. Over the whole of 2011, sales fell 5.3%. The government has identified this year that 306,000 sales, is the lowest number ever recorded in its annals, dating back to January 1963. Sales of new homes suffer from competition caused by the high number of foreclosures caused by the crisis, resulting in the housing market an influx of goods sold at bargain prices detrimental to developers.

Despite the decline in sales, the average transaction price in February rose 2.2% on month and 1.8% yoy, to $ 267,700 dollars.

The ministry said there were 150,000 new homes for sale in the U.S. in late February, as much as a month earlier when the supply of such goods had fallen to its lowest level since January 1963 at least.

The military budget and export quotas of rare earths are not the only subjects of friction between China and Western countries. There's one in particular which is recurrent and that may well not be resolved anytime soon: the yuan. And despite official statements sometimes included ambiguous way too optimistic by some Western obervateurs.

Early on the course of the Chinese currency, deemed too low, the subject of criticism. In the U.S., the yuan is accused of trade deficit and destroy jobs. Following the Forum summit of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), last February, U.S. President Barack Obama, once again called for an appreciation of Chinese currency. His hopes are to go up in smoke.

According to Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, speaking at its annual press conference, the last of its mandate, the yuan is now approaching an equilibrium value. It is indeed appreciated 30% since 2005 and has changed little since the beginning of the year. In other words, you must not rely on an appreciation of Chinese currency in the coming months. "We will accelerate reform of the exchange rate", has certainly also said Wen. But it was soon clear "by giving more scope to fluctuations in both directions." In other words, the yuan revaluation claimed to body and cries by the major developed countries, is absolutely not announced.

The braking worrying the Chinese economy is no stranger to these statements. The Chinese export growth has moderated from 21% in the third quarter to 14% in the fourth quarter. In February, China has even recorded a record trade deficit.

China undergoes economic cooling in other countries, experts note of BNP Paribas. The decline in exports is explained clearly by the decline in sales to European countries (22% of total exports in 2011) and to a lesser extent, the United States. Another measure of trade intensity, the current account surplus of China has reached 2.8% of GDP in 2011. "It is below the international norm of 3% of GDP", says Chinese Premier.

Under these conditions Beijing, which needs growth to ensure social peace, has every interest in stabilizing its currency. This lever has been used during the crisis: the 2008-2010 period, Beijing was chosen to secure the dollar before losing a little ground in 2011. In fact, since mid-2008, the yuan has only appreciated that about 5% against the greenback, causing the exasperation of the United States.

In 2012, BNP Paribas' experts provide at best a 3% appreciation of the Chinese currency. But its "internationalization," however, is expected to continue at a rapid pace. Eventually, indeed, China dreams of being less dependent or concurrent, of the dollar. Since 2008, it is redoubling its efforts to force the yuan internationally. Since 2009, Chinese companies can charge in yuan business transactions with foreign countries. Since 2010, foreign companies can borrow yuan, via Hong Kong on an offshore market. Air Liquide has issued bonds last September in yuan to 185 million euros. For two or three years, the yuan also sees its role reinforced by the swap agreements (that is to say, temporary exchanges of cash) made between the central bank of China and its neighboring countries (Korea, Malaysia, Singapore).

Recently, the Austrian Central Bank has signed an agreement with the Chinese central bank, becoming the first Asian central bank not be able to make investments in yuan! Finally, China allowed Japan to buy the first time in its history of Chinese government bonds. The Middle Kingdom does not stop there. Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of China's central bank, requires the input of the yuan in the composition of the SDR, the IMF's currency. But it will be hard to convince world leaders, as are many disputes between China and the West.

Under the terms of the agreement reached shortly before 4:00 Tuesday and after thirteen hours of negotiations, the Greek debt will be reduced to 120.5% of GDP by 2020 through a new public loan program of 130 billion euros and a restructuring of debt held by private creditors.

They have finally agreed to a 53.5% discount on their obligations through a share swap that will erase more than 100 billion Greek debt. 

The European Central Bank and national central banks in the euro area also participate in the plan by giving up some profits on Greek bonds they hold.

"We have reached an agreement on a new scale for Greece and a private sector that will lead to a significant reduction of the Greek debt (…) to ensure the future of Greece in the euro area, "said President of the Eurogroup, Jean-Claude Juncker, after the meeting.

The euro jumped by about half a cent against the dollar after the announcement of this agreement by Reuters. 

ATHENS UNDER SURVEILLANCE

The restructuring of the Greek debt held by private creditors will commit this week, said Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos.

It is expected to close in early March, when the Greek authorities should also have implemented a list of priority measures in the program if they want to get the first disbursement.

These public funds are needed to Athens could repay 14.5 billion euros of bonds maturing on March 20.

Troika EU-IMF-ECB, which oversees the implementation of reforms and conducts quarterly reports will be further strengthened and its resources increased. 

Under the second bailout, the European Commission will soon send dozens of permanent inspectors in Athens to ensure the smooth running of the technical program and monitor the implementation .

This presence on Greek soil will be accompanied by the creation of a special account to process a priority debt repayments Greek, whose principle is enshrined in the constitution within two months.

NO MIRACLE CURE

This agreement multistage was made necessary by the state of Greek public finances as they appeared in a confidential report prepared by the EU, the Central Europe ; enemies and the International Monetary Fund and obtained by Reuters. 

The document also shows that in case of slippage in reforms introduced in Athens or in terms of economy, Greece's debt could reach 160% in 2020, about his current level.

The new aid package will not be a miracle cure. The Greek economy shrank by 7% annual rate in the last quarter of 2011, more than expected, and the new austerity measures would further exacerbate the situation.

Diplomats and economists do not expect this new bailout plan that solves all economic problems overnight, Greek and many believe it will take at least ten years or more for fulfill this task.

While the group has performed better than its commercial rivals in recent quarters, as Ahold trades at a discount to many other names in the industry, because of the feeling that the company is too exposed to low growth markets.

Ahold, owner of the first supermarket chain in the Netherlands Albert Heijn, produces some 60% of its sales in the U.S., with retailers Stop & Shop, Giant-Landover and Giant-Carlisle.

The company last week released the results better than expected in the third quarter with a 5% increase in earnings, rising food prices and market share gains have boosted sales despite difficult market conditions .

Among the measures included in a presentation to investors, including the group intends to triple its online sales, to 1.5 billion euros, and open at least 150 stores over the next five years.

Specifically, Ahold wants to open at least 50 supermarkets in Belgium after the results of two test stores already established in the country.

"This transaction, when finalized, will be the largest order of civil aircraft in the history of Boeing, both in value and number of aircraft ordered," said a statement from the U.S. aircraft manufacturer.

He adds that the agreement with Lion Air, Indonesia's largest airline, also has rights to purchase 150 additional aircraft.

Boeing said that U.S. President Barack Obama will attend the signing ceremony for the purchase of 230 aircraft.

Like the A320neo from the A320, the MAX 737 is the version of 737 for fuel savings. The first copies should be delivered in 2017.

The Minister of Finance, Baroin said he asked regulators to investigate the causes and possible consequences of the mistake, which he described as "quite shocking rumor of information that do not match any foundation".

"We will not leave any negative message through. It was a strategy, we have an appointment in terms of deficits that is fixed.It will not change one iota, "he said in Lyon on the sidelines of a conference of the economy.

Standard & Poor's has sent a message to some clients who might suggest that the rating of France had been changed.

The rating agency said in a statement that following a technical error, a message was automatically sent to some subscribers suggesting that the credit rating of France had been changed.

"This is not the case notes of the French Republic are AAA/A-1 + with a stable outlook, and this incident is not related to any monitoring activity notes," she said. "We are investigating to determine the cause of this error."

These two production of components and assembly of offshore wind turbines six megawatts – one in Saint-Nazaire (Loire-Atlantique) and one in Cherbourg (Manche) – could generate up to 1,000 direct jobs and 4,000 indirect jobs, the group argues in a statement.

The specialist in energy infrastructure and transport is part of a consortium of six companies led by EDF Energies Nouvelles, which also includes Dong Energy Nass & Wind Offshore, Offshore wpd Poweo and ENR.

Alstom is prepared to invest up to 100 million euros in these two sites "if the consortium is selected at a level that ensures a critical industrial scale."

The project, covering a total capacity of 3,000 megawatts (MW) in five areas, corresponding to half the target set by the government to install 6,000 MW offshore by 2020, equivalent to almost four times the power of a nuclear reactor EPR.

GDF Suez, together with Vinci and Areva, are part of a rival consortium.

Candidates have until January 11, 2012 to submit their bids. They will be screened in April 2012 and retained permanently in 2013.

European stock markets have taken the bull by the horns Friday night, driven by renewed optimism for two days of the EU summit must respond to the crisis in the euro area. Paris ended up 2.8%, Frankfurt 3.5%, London 1.9%, 2.8% and Madrid. The eyes are now fixed on Brussels, which is expected to announce concrete steps Sunday to save Greece, prevent contagion of the crisis in fragile countries in the euro area, and reassure the markets.Update on four major issues in this summit.

The loan to Greece is he paid?

Greece has a positive decision of the creditors (IMF, EU, ECB) after passing the test on Wednesday and Thursday of the street. Parliament passed a new law Thursday austerity which provides further wage cuts and layoffs in the setting of 30,000 employees. But if the payment of this sixth installment of the loan of 110 billion seems to be accepted by Brussels, the IMF's involvement is less. The institution is actually more pessimistic than Europe on the development of public finances of the country.

What level of discount for Greece?

The discussions relate "50%" according to a European source. This level imposed on the country's private creditors would erase 67.5 billion euros of Greek debt that will culminate later this year to 357 billion euros (about 162% of GDP).That's a lot more than what was agreed at the Summit of 21 July, the discount was set at the time to 21% of the commitment of private creditors. If this hypothesis is confirmed, this discount will remove 20% of the debt. The Union of Greek Industrialists (SEV) held Friday consequences "dramatic" if this level should be imposed on private creditors. But this statement should not weigh very heavy in view of the issues … However, the whole question is about the ability of Europe to offer a discount to private creditors 'voluntary' of their claims. For without this principle, the credit event could be delivered, which would open the door to bankruptcy of the country.

How much money to recapitalize the banks?

To allow banks to withstand losses on the country's debt, the EU will reassess the capital ratios of European banks to the tune of 9%.For this, the European Banking Authority (EBA) has assessed the need for recapitalization of banks from 80 to 100 billion euros. The question is whether this amount will be enough to reassure the markets knowing that the IMF rather evoked a level of capitalization to 200 billion euros. In all cases, the major European banks were against a forced recapitalization. And warned that, given the difficulties to obtain financing, this would lead them to reduce the size of their balance sheets. In other words, to reduce their lending activity.

How to strengthen the EFSF?

This is where things get complicated. For Paris and Berlin have not yet found agreement on the issue. For France, it would give the banking license to the European Financial Stability (EFSF) to enable it to refinance with the European Central Bank (ECB).Leverage and the ability to fund intervention limited to 440 billion euros that can lift the markets. Paris also wants the ECB to continue to buy bonds fragile as it has done for over a year. But Berlin and the ECB refuses, and instead want to change the Fund's insurer. It would ensure any losses would have to suffer the investors in the bonds of fragile states up to 20 to 30% in case of difficulty in these states to honor their commitments. This idea has received support Friday from 10 major European banks and insurers. But here, in addition to France, Spain and Italy do not agree. Rome and Madrid, this will create a rate difference between bonds and debentures. "No one in a financial crisis, venture to purchase securities that need a crutch," said EU official.This is mainly because of these disagreements has been decided a second peak of the euro area, next Wednesday.

Nicolas Sarkozy left Paris Wednesday to Frankfurt where he is involved with German Chancellor Angela Merkel at a meeting to advance the conclusion of an agreement on the future of the euro area before the EU summit scheduled for Sunday, announced the Elysee.The President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Jean-Claude Trichet, his successor Mario Draghi, the Presidents Council and the Commission of the European Union (EU), Herman Van Rompuy and José Manuel Barroso, the Executive Director of the IMF Christine Lagarde, the finance ministers and French and German, Baroin and Wolfgang Schäuble, also participate in this "informal meeting" added the source.

All these personalities gathered in Frankfurt for a ceremony in honor of Mr. Trichet, who must leave office at the head of the ECB at the end of October. "No statement is expected at the end of this working meeting," also said the French presidency.At a luncheon at the Elysee Palace with the centrist deputies, the president announced he was ready to move quickly in Germany in order to hasten the conclusion of an agreement in anticipation of EU summits and the euro area scheduled Sunday.

France hopes that the EFSF can be turned into a real bank, such that it can refinance directly with the ECB. The ECB and Germany are opposed to such provisions, which require amendment of the European treaties.Germany stands in contrast the idea of ​​a mechanism to ensure EFSF some of the bonds of troubled countries, to multiply by "leverage" its lending capacity, currently $ 440 billion euros, without the states have to increase their contributions.

First limited to Greece, the debt crisis is now spreading to other countries in the euro area and its banks. Spain has suffered a further reduction of its sovereign rating for the third time in less than two weeks, while Greece was paralyzed by a general strike. At a meeting with Merkel in Berlin on October 9, Sarkozy had promised "sustainable solutions, comprehensive and fast" to resolve the serious crisis in the euro area, in any case before the G20 summit scheduled in Cannes on November 3 and 4.