US & World News

On Friday a new conditional easing of U.S. monetary policy to a deterioration in economic conditions in the U.S., the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, has tried to appease the "hawks" who favor the Fed the fight against inflation, in order to rally them to his latest position.

This attitude may make it possible to Ben Bernanke to have the support of the Fed in cases of substantial worsening of the U.S. economic slowdown.

"The statistics should convince the most timid members (of the monetary policy committee of the Fed)," said Julia Coronado, senior economist at BNP Paribas.

When the Fed's annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Bernanke has compiled a table Friday gloomy economic outlook and reiterated the tools available to the central bank to stimulate the recovery.

The statements of the successor to Alan Greenspan, however, were more nuanced than those of the central bank on Aug. 10 after its last meeting, which had resulted in new measures to support the economy and credit.

The main decision that day, namely the resumption of redemptions of government bonds in the long term (Treasuries) without further inflate the stock of the central bank, has been widely discussed within the institution.

Some members of the Monetary Policy Committee considered that this decision would give the market the impression that the Fed was closer to a new monetary easing significant than it actually was.

ASSESSING THE RISKS OF A NEW FLEXIBILITY

Leaders of the Federal Reserve also wonder if the recent weakening of the U.S. economy is not just a slump before further acceleration of growth, instead of viewing it as a warning about the ability of growth support job creation.

Purchases of "Treasuries and have sent the wrong signal to the markets, while some criticized the swelling of the institution's balance sheet, increased by more than half since the beginning of the financial crisis in late 2008, to 2,300 billion (1,809 billion euros).

The statements by Ben Bernanke Friday were therefore able to reassure some of the skeptics.

While acknowledging the slowdown in the economy, the Fed chairman said that the conditions for a recovery in growth next year seemed satisfied.

"The president did not prepare the country to a recession" double dip ", stated Dana Saporta, Credit Suisse.

Ben Bernanke also acknowledged that it was difficult to assess the real impact of increased purchases of Treasuries and a lowering of interest rates, already extremely low, which the Fed pays banks for their cash have limited effects.

He also explained that one of the factors on which the Fed will base future decisions would be a further slowdown in inflation, already low, which increases the risks of deflation.

For some economists, the pace of recovery has slowed U.S. and statements from Ben Bernanke augur further action by the Fed in the months ahead.

"The general tone was to 'wait and see', despite showing signs of being not only that economic activity in the United States has returned below its potential growth but also to risk a further slowdown," wrote January Hatzius, an economist at Goldman Sachs in a note.

In outlining the conditions under which the Fed could decide new measures to prevent a relapse into recession, Ben Bernanke has probably facilitated the meeting a consensus around him on the FOMC.

The Indian division of Renault will launch five models from mid-2011 and mid-2013 to meet growing demand in this rapidly growing market, said Thursday the French carmaker's CEO for India, Marc Nassif .

The small vehicles, built on the platform of its Japanese partner Nissan, launched in 2012, he said on the sidelines of a conference on the automobile.

He said that the cars in question are sold under the Renault brand at a competitive price.

The Renault-Nissan is also working with the specialist Indian two-wheeler Bajaj Auto to build a low-cost car to be launched by end 2012.

Marc Nassif has also said he set the objective of selling 75.000 vehicles in India in 2013.

The irritation expressed Tuesday by the Japanese government to face the rise of the yen was not enough to stem the surge in the yen, which hit new highs against the dollar and euro.

Japanese Prime Minister, Naoto Kan, said he wanted to think about measures to curb the yen's appreciation, taking into account, among other factors, the result of a meeting of central bankers, reported the Jiji Press.

It did not specify which meeting he was referring but central bankers must be found from Thursday to Saturday in Jackson Hole, in the U.S. state of Wyoming.

The Japanese Minister of Finance, Yoshihiko Noda, said his side to the press that Japan would act appropriately to currency movements on the basis of statements of the G7.

Last October, members of the Group of Seven had said currency movements were erratic and excessive negative implications for economic stability and would cooperate as appropriate in this area.

NEGATIVE IMPACT ON THE ECONOMY

The Minister of Finance has used a rhetorical firmer, ensuring close look at the evolution of exchange and believing that recent developments were clearly "unfair".

"The excessive and disorderly developments of the currency could have a negative impact on the stability of the economy and financial system," he said.

The markets have nevertheless interpreted his refusal to comment on a possible intervention as a sign that Japanese authorities are not yet ready to act, pushing the dollar to a new low of 15 years against the yen at 84.34 yen on the platform EBS transaction, and the euro to a nine-year low around 106.14 yen.

"The market will test the ability of the Japanese authorities to intervene, and, unless they take an actual decision, the dollar will move towards the 80 yen.The Japanese economy will suffer greatly, because American and Asian economies slow, "said Paul Robson, currency strategist at RBS Global Banking in London.

Since the beginning of the year, the yen has appreciated by nearly 10% against the dollar, penalized by the rising concerns about the strength of the recovery in the United States.

The Japanese authorities have repeatedly tried to control this increase, fearing that a strong yen would penalize exports and could weaken a fragile economic recovery.

But traders were skeptical about a possible intervention in the markets of Tokyo, and further suggest that coordinated action with partners in the G7 seems highly unlikely.

However, an easing of monetary policy appears to be a possible scenario.

According to sources familiar with the matter, the soaring yen has slightly increased the chance until now very low, before an easing of monetary policy meeting scheduled for September 6 and 7.

But such an inflection remains far from certain because some officials of the Bank of Japan expect to have evidence proving the impact of the stronger dollar on the economy.

"The markets expect an attitude and a more determined response. But they just verbal intervention, and again," said Hiroichi Nishi, general manager of the branch shares in Nikko Cordial Securities.

Schneider Electric has raised its margin target for 2010 after the publication of a double-digit growth in sales in the second quarter thanks to the performance of emerging countries which still support the group in the second half.

In this context, the company says it should achieve in the second half of the year an increase in organic revenue "broadly comparable to that of the first half.

Schneider Electric is now an EBITA margin of around 15.5% before restructuring costs and impact of consolidation of Areva Distribution.

So far, the group anticipated an improvement in EBITA margin of approximately 14% before restructuring costs and impact of integration Areva Distribution, against 12.9% in 2009 and 16% in 2008.

Schneider, the world leader in low voltage electrical equipment and number two for medium voltage, has reported an EBITA before restructuring and integration charges of Areva Distribution of 1.301 million euros in the first half, up 44%.

Its margin is increased 3.6 points to 15.2%.

The net result has been doubled to 735 million euros.

Turnover increased by 10.5% in the first semester of € 8.571 million (6.4% organic), including 4.661 million in the second quarter, organic growth of 10.2%.

Jean-Pascal Tricoire, chief executive of the group, said he has received "the diversification of (its) end markets, industrial markets and data centers were the first to rebound."

He added in a statement that "the new dynamic economies continue their solid with double digit growth.

Schneider Action closed Thursday at 86.4 euros, giving a market capitalization of around 23 billion euros. Since the beginning of the year, the stock has gained about 5.7% after being awarded more than 54% throughout 2009.

Sequana reported a net profit of 6 million euros in the first half and confirms its target of operating performance in 2010 than that of last year.

The group diversified paper, which has returned to profitability in 2009, said in a statement that the third quarter continue its policy of raising prices, already implemented during the first six months of the year.

This price increase will allow the group to offset rising raw material costs.

"The policy of increasing operating margins and debt reduction will be continued in the second half," says Sequana.

In the first six months of the year, the stationer has reached a turnover up 3.8% to 2.14 billion euros.

Its net debt stood at 670 million euros at end-June 2010, down from 732 million a year earlier.

"The policy of increasing operating margins and debt reduction will be continued on the second half," advised Sequana.

The action Sequana closed Tuesday at 11.50 euros. It is up 44% since the beginning of the year.

The Dutch chemical group Akzo Nobel announced that it will continue to monitor its costs despite having already reached its 2011 margin target and announced quarterly results exceeded expectations.

Around 7:15 GMT, Akzo Nobel has risen by 3.33% to 45.765 euros, while the index grouping the European chemical values yielded 0.34%.

The first painting company in the world said it had reached its goal in the second quarter EBITDA margin for 2011, set at 14%.

Its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), excluding items, rose to 614 million euros, thanks to rising demand and cost reduction.

The nine analysts polled by Reuters had expected a net profit of 576 million euros. During the same period the previous year, the group had reported an EBITDA of 506 million euros.

"The developed markets remain difficult. The pressures on prices of basic materials and shortages are expected to continue in the third quarter.We will keep a watchful eye on the market environment and the costs will continue to be managed aggressively, "said Chief Executive Hans Weijers, in a statement.

The chief financial officer Keith Nichols said it expected an increase in material prices between 4% and 5% this year but it believes that the situation should start to improve from the end of the third quarter, which should not threaten margins.

Akzo Nobel said it would inform investors of his future ambitions September 28 in London.

In the second quarter, its revenue increased 13% to 3.9 billion euros, exceeding analysts' expectations which projected sales of between 3.58 and 3.8 billion euros.

U.S. rivals PPG and Sherwin-Williams also beat the consensus in the second quarter but they were cautious for the remainder of the year.

His rivals in the Benelux, DSM and Solvay, must publish their quarterly Thursday and Aug. 3, respectively.

ZenithOptimedia noted for his third consecutive growth forecast for global advertising market this year after surprisingly strong spending by advertisers in the U.S. and Europe in the first half.

The agency purchases of space, a subsidiary of Publicis, now expects growth of 3.5% in 2010 against 2.2% previously, considering that all regions should show some growth, even Europe West.

For France, ZenithOptimedia has raised its forecast to 1.7% in 2010 against 1.1% previously, largely thanks to television which has greatly benefited from the opening to competition of Paris and gambling Online.

"The bulk of the upward revision is in North America and Western Europe (…), But these regions grow more slowly than most emerging countries, "ZenithOptimedia said in a statement, adding that emerging countries should support the growth of the global advertising market in the coming years.

The agency expects growth of 2.4% in 2011 and 2.9% in 2012 in industrialized countries, compared to respective rates of 9.1% and 9.8% expected in emerging markets, with support from Asia-Pacific and Latin America.

For the global market, ZenithOptimedia has raised its growth forecast from 4.1% to 4.5% this year and confirmed its expectations of a 5.3% rise in 2012, after a fall of 10.3% in 2009.

ZenithOptimedia now expects a solid growth of 2.2% in Western Europe this year, despite concerns about the debt of countries in the euro area, against 0.4% previously.It anticipates a gradual increase in advertising spending in 2011 and 2012, according to the request after the entry into force of austerity plans.

HEXAGON A CONTRARIO IN 2011

In France, where business confidence is wavering, the agency expects a slowdown in market growth in 2011 and 2012, unlike the global trend.

The strongest contrast in the forecast from ZenithOptimedia North America, where the agency now expects growth of 1.3% instead of down 1.5%, benefiting from a strong recovery in demand and consumer confidence.

Television has gone through the crisis relatively well advertising, consumers tend to spend more time at home with the development of new technologies such as HDD recorders. Even more dominant in emerging markets, the television should represent 40.8% of the global advertising market in 2012 against 39.2% in 2009.

Internet advertising spending, third medium after television and press, expected to reach 17.1% in 2012 against 12.7% in 2009 to promote the growth of mobile internet and social networks.

Wall Street finished up Friday, ending the week at its largest weekly increase since the beginning of the year when the new season begins Monday results.

The Dow Jones industrial average thirty biggest U.S. has been 0.58%, 58.73 points to 10,197.72, while the S & P 500 index fund managers, has awarded 7.68 points, 0 , 72%, to 1077.93.

Supported by the announcement that Google will be able to resume its activities in China, Nasdaq, heavily weighted in technology, advanced 21.05 points, 0.97% to 2196.45.

For the week, the Dow took 5.3%, the S & P gained 5.4% and the Nasdaq was up 5%.

"Investors are putting their concerns to the background because they expect a good season of results," said Stephen Massocca, managing director at Wedbush Morgan in San Francisco?

"But chances are that next week is volatile. The results could certainly good but the forecasts may not be."

Google announced on Friday that Chinese authorities had renewed his license, a decision that allows him to remain on the largest Internet market in the world.

The Internet portal closed up 2.39% to 467.46 dollars.

Alcoa will open Monday after closing the ball of quarterly results.Experts say the findings by the American aluminum should satisfy investors, even if the decline in metal prices has prompted analysts to revise their forecasts downward. Alcoa has been 2.05%.

A reversal of the trend, Johnson & Johnson dropped 1.37% to 60.54 dollars after announcing that it had recalled more Tylenol and prescription drugs after complaints from consumers.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its forecast for global growth in 2010, citing the strength of the economies in Asia and rising private demand in the U.S., while warning against the risks inherent in the crisis sovereign debt of the euro area.

The downside risks have increased significantly, mainly because of turmoil in financial markets again since the beginning of the crisis of sovereign debt, but it is unlikely that we are seeing a recession "W", says IMF .

It carries its global growth forecast to 4.6%, while it predicted 4.2% in April, but left unchanged at 4.3% for 2011.

"In our baseline forecast, there is nothing like a recession in 'W'," said Olivier Blanchard, chief economist of the IMF during the presentation of the document.

"In this context, the new forecast is based on the implementation of measures to rebuild confidence and stability, particularly in the euro area."

Olivier Blanchard said that the statement of results of resistance testing was a step towards greater transparency while stressing the need for a return of public spending to sustainable levels.

Austerity PESERA IN GREAT BRITAIN

Under one scenario considered by the IMF, based on the assumption that the consequences of the crisis of European sovereign debt as violent as those of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the global GDP growth would be reduced 1.5 percentage point in 2011.

The continuing fragility of the U.S. labor markets and housing problems of the euro area and the slowdown in manufacturing activity in Asia have raised many questions among investors who wonder about the possibility of a sudden slowdown in growth for the remainder of the year.

The IMF lowered its growth forecast Thursday for 2011 in Great Britain, Canada, in the euro area, emerging economies and Japan.

According to IMF forecasts, GDP growth in the euro zone will be limited to 1% this year, according to what it expected in April, but it should stand at 1.3% in 2011, 0.2 percentage point less than what was previously announced.

The U.S. economy should she enroll at 3.3% in 2010, against an estimate of 3.1% three months ago, and 2.9% in 2011, against 2.6%.

The most brutal review announced Thursday is to the liabilities of the UK whose new government has begun a course of austerity that may affect growth.

The IMF expects UK growth of 1.2% in 2010, 0.1 percentage point lower than April and 2.1% in 2011, down 0.4 percentage points.

Bank of China, one of China's four largest banks, announced its intention to undertake a capital increase, the amount could reach 60 billion yuan (7.0 billion euros).

The bank offers to shareholders to obtain up to 1.1 Right to subscribe for 10 shares held.

"All the products of this rights issue (…) should enhance the bank's balance sheet and improve the ratio of financial solvency of the bank," she says in a statement.

This announcement does not specify whether the parent Public Bank, Central Huijin, subscribe to this offer.

In Hong Kong, under the BoC was trading at 3.97 Hong Kong dollars Wednesday, and he treated at 3.4 yuan in Shanghai on Friday before the suspension of trading.

MASSIVE CAPITAL RAISING

The bank, which raised 4.7 billion euros last month by issuing convertible bonds in Shanghai, is looking like its main rival China to strengthen its balance sheet and to comply with the stringent requirements of regulators in terms of ratios solvency.

Agricultural Bank of China (AGBANK), China's third largest bank, has launched its next capital increase of almost 16 billion euros via an IPO in Shanghai and Hong Kong.

According to local press, Chinese authorities have given their approval to raise capital totaling 287 billion yuan (33.6 billion euros) for the four largest banks.

In recent months, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank have also announced increases in capital.

Bank of Communications, the fifth-largest bank, raised its next 2.0 billion euros in Shanghai.