US & World News

While European countries are being hit hard by the economic crisis, Poland, EU member since 2004, is the only one to succeed at the game's GDP grew by 1.6% in 2009 and three , 8% in 2010 (source: OECD).

The country has many strengths that explain this singular economic health. Since the end of communist rule in the 1990s, Poland has embarked on major structural reforms to transform a collectivist economy in a market economy. To do so, the country receives substantial support from the European Union to finance large infrastructure projects, including the equipment needed to hold this year's UEFA European Nations Football. Subsidies granted by the EU for the period 2007/2013 reached 95 billion euros (source: Embassy of Poland).  

Poland, which enjoys a stable political system, attracts foreign investors, sensitive to the importance of a rich market of 38.5 million consumers.

She finally has a strategic geographical location between Eastern Europe and Western Europe, making it an economic and commercial hub.

The study HSBC Global Connections: Trade Forecast Poland (February 2012), the Polish trade growth should be higher than world trade, reaching 5.7% from 2012 to 2016 and between 6.8% 2017 and 2021. These figures show the speed with which the Polish economy is integrated into global supply chains, especially in the automotive and electronics. Thus, Poland imports from China of spare parts it assembles radios to export the finished apparatus to Hungary or Germany.  

In automobiles, it produces and exports of both vehicles and replacement parts. Forecasts of vehicle exports to France and the UK are soaring (respectively 8.3 and +8.75% per annum by 2016), despite weak demand in Europe, which shows the emergence new trade corridors in this area.

If, in the longer term, growth levels observed in Poland tend to be reduced, as the country has caught up with its neighbors to the EU, Poland should maintain, for the next five years, its number 10 in the global ranking of the major emerging countries.

France has awarded Thursday 7.43 billion euros of long-term debt at better terms than in previous auctions, three days before the second round of presidential elections .

The Agence France Trésor (AFT) has issued an amount corresponding to the top of the announced range (6.5 to 7.5 billion euros).

Three of the four lines of Treasury bonds (OATs) offered the 4.25% in October 2017, the 3.25% in October 2021, the 3.0% in April 2022 (refer to the OAT ence to 10 years), interest rates have declined from previous auctions.

The weighted average rate of the OAT 6.0% in October 2025 stood at 3.31%. The AFT, which manages the state debt, does not provide a comparison, the bond not been available for many months.

The rate of OAT reference (benchmark) 10-year stood at 2.96% against 2.98% in April. After the auction, the rate fell further in the secondary market at 2.93%, the yield spread with the German Bund at 10 years, the euro area benchmark, contracting six basis points to 133.

Auctions of France and that of Spain, now the focus of investor concerns, helped ease the situation in the market for government bonds in the euro area.

The Spanish Treasury has placed 2.5 billion euros of bonds in three to five years – the maximum referred – but unlike AFT, he had to concede a higher risk premium than in previous auctions.

Overall demand for OAT reached 18.64 billion euros, providing a comfortable coverage ratio. 

"It seems that the relative uncertainty of the presidential election has not weighed heavily. They managed to raise the maximum referred to lower rates and with a coverage ratio decent, "said John Davies, rates strategist at WestLB.

"Holland has softened his speech on the new fiscal pact (…) and said he just wanted to add stimulus to growth," he says, adding that the positions of President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi and Chancellor Angela Merkel have also evolved.

"We realize that the pure austerity can not walk. The conflict that the market feared when Holland came to power might not be as insurmountable as we thought at first sight, "said John Davies

…. ….. "Solid as usual, decent rates. Where is the political risk? "Said Peter Chatwell, rates strategist at Credit Agricole CIB in London, about the French auction

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The new futures contract on OAT, due in June, hit a high (126.75) since its launch on April 16 on Eurex, the market for die riveted to the Frankfurt Stock Exchange

Around 12:30, he was earning 57 cents to 126.69 in a volume of more than 11,000 contracts. Open positions reached 43,223 against 58,000 batches on Italian BTP future, launched in 2009 by Eurex.

The Bund future, benchmark futures contracts in the euro zone fell by 14 cents to 141.59 in a volume of more than 202,000 contracts. Positions on maturity in June exceeded the 13 million lots.

Societe Generale has crossed the threshold of 5% stake in Vivendi, becoming with a participation of 7.86% the largest shareholder in the group of media and communications confronted with rumors, dice ; menties, decommissioning.

This rise of the French bank, announced Friday by an opinion of the Financial Markets Authority (AMF), comes as the businessman Vincent Bollore could rise, according a source familiar with the matter, up 5% stake in Vivendi against 1% currently.

According to the AMF, Societe Generale said to have crossed over on April 20 the threshold of 5% of share capital and voting rights of Vivendi and Vivendi hold 98,045,823 or 7.86% of share capital and voting rights. 

This total includes a participation of 5.25% effective in custody and the balance by assimilation.

The bank was not immediately available for comment on whether share purchases had been made for herself or on behalf of a client.

Bollore announced in September 2011 a proposed sale to Vivendi of free TV channels Direct 8 Direct and Star in exchange for remuneration in Vivendi shares up of 22.4 million shares.

The source familiar with the matter, Bolloré could reach 5% stake in Vivendi by the combined effect of the implementation of this agreement and new purchases of securities on the market. 

Citing people familiar with the matter, the Bloomberg news agency reported Wednesday that the conglomerate was considering an overhaul of its structure that could lead to a dismantling of the group, which was denied by Vivendi.

Values ​​to follow Thursday at the Paris Bourse.

* EADS confirmed its target of delivering 30 A380s in 2012, despite a slowdown in the rate of production of this unit.

* Pernod Ricard has reported strong sales growth in nine months, despite a slowdown in the third quarter related to inventory reductions expected in France, and confirmed its annual financial targets.

According to its chief financial officer, Gilles Gobaert, April sales did not mark a change in the underlying trend in the first 9 months. He said that Pernod remained open to small acquisitions "tactics".

Pernod Ricard has signed a multi-currency revolving credit facility of EUR 2.5 billion with a pool of 25 banks, which will enable it to refinance debt related to the acquisition of Sweden's Vin & ; Sprit in 2008.

* Alcatel-Lucent has reported a deterioration in its margin in the first quarter, hurt by weak investment of telecom operators in Europe and the United States.

* Technip has published results up to the first quarter, again driven by strong investment of its customers, and reported a record backlog. 

* SAFRAN announced strong growth in quarterly revenue, supported by its commercial engine business, and reaffirmed its 2012 objectives and confidence for years to come given the trends observed ;'re in the market.

* DASSAULT SYSTEMS has been a little more optimistic for its annual outlook after quarterly revenue driven by growth in sales of new licenses and assumptions with more favorable exchange.

* Renault has announced a decrease of 8.6% of its turnover in the first quarter because of the European car market, but confirmed its forecast for the year given the growth registered abroad. 

* PPR has reported a net sales growth in the first quarter, driven by a brilliant performance of its luxury brands Bottega Veneta and Yves Saint Laurent, while FNAC showed a relative re ; resistance.

* Wednesday denied VIVENDI consider dismantling the group's activities after media reports suggesting the possibility of such a scenario.

Citing people familiar with the matter, the Bloomberg news agency reported earlier in the day that the conglomerate present in the telecom, media and Entertainment was considering an overhaul of its structure which could lead to a dismantling of the group. 

* Eramet, whose sales fell 10% in the first quarter, said its operating profit in the first half should be lower than in the first half of 2012 Due to the falling price of nickel and manganese.

* Gemalto announced it had registered a turnover of "record" in the first quarter 2012 with an increase of 9%, a performance that allows the specialist smart card to reaffirm its financial targets in 2012 and 2013 .

* Technicolor announced a turnover down 1.5%, a performance nonetheless considered "solid", saying the group can achieve its financial targets in 2012 despite restructuring charges e lifted. 

* KLÉPIERRE confirmed its 2012 targets after posting growth of 3.1% of its rents in the first quarter supported by the activity of shopping centers.

* MERSEN announced a turnover back to the first quarter of 2012, slowed by its solar division, which suffers from a market still at half mast.

* IPSOS confirmed its objectives for this year, following growth of 46% of its turnover in the first quarter, mainly resulting from the integration of Synovate acquired in July 2011.

European shares rebounded Tuesday to midday, after a session that had brought equity markets in Europe to a low of three months.

The rebound is still limited as tensions persist in the euro area.

In Paris the CAC 40 rose 1.18% to 3135.03 points. In Frankfurt, the Dax gained 0.69% and London, the FTSE is 0.32%. The pan-European index Stoxx 50 in advance for its share of 0.93%.

The values, Michelin, a time reserved to decline, lead of almost 7.11% and the best performance of the CAC 40 after the publication of its turnover for the first quarter showing lower sales volumes offset by price increases.

STMICROELECTRONICS lead of more than 4.50% despite announcing a first-quarter loss attributed to the decline in sales in the segment of products for mobile phones and the impact a court decision.

Essilor rose by nearly 1.61% after announcing strong organic growth over the first three months of the year. 

NOVARTIS was down 1.18% after confirming expect a slight deterioration in profitability this year after a first quarter affected by an interruption production on one of its sites in the U.S. and unfavorable basis for its subsidiary Sandoz.

On the bond market, Bunds are below their record highs Monday, the market pausing, but they remain attractive to the extent that the uncertainty in the euro area is now affecting his core.

After the resignation of the government, the Netherlands, however, successfully awarded two bond lines that allowed them to raise two billion euros. 

Sign of the tensions in the euro area, Italy had to pay Tuesday unprecedented efficiencies since January in connection with auctions of zero coupon bonds or indexed.

Investors also sought a high premium for a tender Spanish short term.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is changing the balance of around 1.3163 dollar but failed to really bounce back despite the successful bond issue in the Netherlands and after experiencing its worst day in a week Monday.

The European currency hit a 20-month low against the pound sterling at 81.45 pence, weighed down by concerns over the euro area.

The public deficit of Greece for 2011 amounted to 19.6 billion euros, or 9.1% of GDP. The public debt reached 355.6 billion euros, to 165.3% of GDP. The Standard & Poor's downgraded the long-term CC and C short term rating of Greece to SD (Selective Default). (REUTERS / Pascal Rossignol)

The public deficit of Greece for 2011 "is estimated at 9.1% of GDP, to 19.6 billion euros", said Monday the Greek Statistical Authority (Elstat) in a statement. "The Greek government debt for 2011 reached 355.6 billion euros, to 165.3% of GDP", according to this text. These figures are very close to the forecast contained in the budget of the country voted in December, which foresaw a deficit of 9% of GDP, against 10.6% in 2010 and a debt of 161.7% of GDP, against 144, 9% in 2010.  

"Greece has managed to reduce by two years the general government deficit of 6.5 points (…), which we will soon have primary surpluses," said Finance Minister Philippos Sahinidis, quoted in a statement. Mr. Sahinidis predicted in March that the deficit would amount to around 9.2% of GDP. First country affected by the debt crisis, Greece is subject to a strict austerity program to consolidate its public finances. This program, dictated by its creditors EU and IMF, was agreed in exchange for international loans and a debt restructuring that enabled the country in March, erasing about 105 billion euros.

"The need for continued effort to restore fiscal and financial recovery is the goal of next year (…), which will also benefit the Greeks" to justify "their sacrifices," said Mr. Sahinidis. According to budget estimates, the country targets a deficit of 7% in 2012 and a reduction of its debt to 145.5% of GDP after the restructuring. The Minister visited during the weekend in Washington, where he met with the Executive Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, on the sidelines of the meeting of the General Assembly of the organization and a ministers' meeting G20 finance.

"The discussion with Ms. Lagarde was held in a positive atmosphere. We have addressed the issue of recapitalization of banks in Greece after the successful restructuring of debt of the country and the progress made in implementing the sanitation program of the economy, "said Mr. Sahinidis, quoted by the Greek news agency, Ana (semi-official). "Today there is greater optimism about the country's exit from the crisis," added the Minister.

China Petrochemical (Sinopec) is in talks with the Spanish oil group Repsol to buy its Argentine subsidiary YPF, so that its potential nationalization, reported Tuesday a Chinese site for financial information.

According Caixin.com, citing a source close to Sinopec, the Asian oil company has found a non-binding agreement to take control of YPF for more than 15 billion dollars (11.4 billion euros).

A Sinopec spokesman declined to comment on "market rumors".

For its part, the president of Repsol Antonio Brufau said at a press conference that the tanker had received many expressions of interest from international groups to take a stake in YPF but did not comment on the information on Sinopec. 

Also according to the site Caixin.com, Sinopec estimated oil reserves of YPF in Argentina have a potential for development. The group ensures to meet the requirements of the Argentine government to accelerate the development and production.

The Argentine President Cristina Fernandez announced Monday it would ask Congress for the expropriation of 51% of YPF's energy group, immediately attracting the warnings of important trading partners and in particular a strong reaction from Spain.

The blacklist of tax havens in 2012 was reduced to a trickle, from 18 to 8 members this year. The government is attacked for its laxity. The headquarters of the Cayman National Bank in George Town. The Cayman Islands belong to the core of tax havens.

The list of states considered by France as uncooperative in terms of transparency and exchange of tax information has been updated for 2012.

Surprised, she has been drastically reduced: exactly eleven states have been removed (Anguilla, Belize, Costa Rica, Dominica, Grenada, Cook Islands, Islands and Caicos Turkey, Liberia, Oman, Panama, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have been removed from this list) for a single added (Bostwana). Among the endless extras, we can see Brunei, Marshall Islands, Montserrat, Nauru, Niue Island, or the Philippines.  

In total, in less then ten states listed on French blacklist of tax havens. The withdrawal was decided, either because these countries have concluded with France a bilateral agreement to exchange any information necessary for the application of their tax law, or in reciprocal because the Global Forum on Transparency and Exchange of Information in Tax Matters (OECD) has removed himself from the list.

Sometimes this can lead to some contradictions, as in the case of Costa Rica came out of the French list, even as the World Forum reminded last week that "the law might hinder the effectiveness of exchange of information ".

"A sustained vigilance"

Asked about this issue by Nicole Bricq, general rapporteur of the Finance Committee of the High Assembly, Valérie Pécresse has ensured that the states concerned were subject to sustained vigilance. "The challenge for the coming years was to put the agreements under vigilance" has justified the Minister of Budget. Before insisting: "I think we should be very firm on the implementation of agreements." But Valérie Pécresse admits, some countries with which France has signed agreements are still experiencing "pain points" in the image of Switzerland. Recently a delegation of Bercy was sent to Geneva to say that the implementation of the agreements was not satisfactory.

According to figures released by the Ministry, 77 000 French bank accounts abroad were identified in 2010, three times more than in 2007. Ms. Pécresse also said that tax audits had reported 16 billion euros in 2010, "1 billion more than in 2009," did she congratulated.

An enthusiasm not shared advocates the fight against tax havens. According to the NGO CCFD-Terre Solidaire (Catholic Committee against Hunger and for Development), at least 20 billion euros each year would continue to escape the budget of the French government because of tax evasion. In a report last October, the NGO also points out that according to the Tax Justice Network, it is not 8 but 54 states in the world who cultivate a "high degree of financial opacity", nearly a quarter countries of the planet should be placed on the gray or black list.

Specifically, the inclusion on the blacklist French is not trivial for states. For businesses located there are heavily taxed by France. The rate of withholding tax on passive income (dividends, interest, royalties) are 50% when they are poured into an entity present in the territory uncooperative. In addition, certain provisions of the parent-subsidiary regime are removed as the exemption of 95% of corporation tax on dividends paid by a subsidiary to its parent.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange ended down nearly 1.5% Monday, accusing its fifth consecutive session of decline under the impact of both the employment figures for the month of March in the United States considered to be disappointing and the strong yen.

The Nikkei lost 1.47% or 142.19 points to 9,546.26 and the Topix broader, yielded 12.02 points (-1.46%) to 813.69 .

The U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than expected in March, which should extend the debate on the need for the Fed to adopt new measures to support growth, although the unemployment rate to 8.2%, is at its lowest for three years. 

Since April 2, the Nikkei fell more than 5% and, with five sessions of decline in a row, the index experienced its longest run down since November.

That said, thanks to the good performance of financial stocks and those related to exports, the Nikkei had jumped more than 19% over the three months January to March, its best performance for a first quarter in 24 years.

"This is a temporary adjustment. We had perhaps gone too far, too fast, "said Naomi Fink as, technical analyst at Jefferies The

. Trading volume was very narrow due to the closure of most Western stock markets due to Easter Monday

.. ……. The dollar fell to a low of one month against the yen, a development that has resulted in a decline in export values, such as Honda (-2.43 %), Nissan (-3.39%) or TDK (-1.69%)

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The decision of E. ON to forego building new nuclear plants in Britain does not mean that the company turns its back on the entire value chain, said Friday the meadow , chairman of the Executive Group utilities.

"This is not a rejection of nuclear energy, just a decision on how we are investing," said Johannes Teyssen in an interview published Friday by the German newspaper Handelsblatt.

RWE and E.ON announced on Thursday to abandon their plan of 18 billion euros to build new nuclear plants in the UK, which could undermine the objective of London for renewal of the reactor pool. 

Both groups have justified this decision by the choice of Germany to break with nuclear energy, high operating costs of their joint venture and the dice Horizon ; lais required by the construction of new nuclear plants.

E.ON also said Thursday it would continue its project to build a nuclear reactor in Finland through the consortium Fennovoima, in which the German group owns 34% through its Finnish subsidiary.