The economic recovery in the euro area slowed slightly in August but companies are more optimistic for the months to come despite differences between countries in the region, show the first results of Monday's monthly survey Markit.
The PMI services, calculated on the basis of responses from purchasing managers of nearly 2,000 firms in the euro area fell slightly to 55.6 against 55.8 last month, but it is slightly better that 'expected as economists polled by Reuters had expected the average to 55.5.
It is over for the twelfth consecutive month the 50 between expansion and contraction of activity.
If growth slows, firms in the services sector, dominant in the 16 countries using the euro as their currency, appear rather more optimistic about the future, the business expectations index falling up to 68 1 after 66.5 in July.
"The recovery still has some momentum but we will witness a slowdown from the exceptional figures observed in the second quarter," warns Rob Dobson of Markit.
France and Germany, the two largest economies in the euro area, strongly rebounded in the second quarter, but this trend was not found in Spain and Italy.
"THE TAKEOVER COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN"
Activity in the industrial sector has also slowed.The PMI manufacturing index is indeed stood at 55.0 in the first estimate in August against 56.7 in July, while economists polled by Reuters had expected 56.2.
The sub-index of production rose from 58.7 in July to 57.2 in August.
The composite index combines the two sectors, fell to 56.1 against 56.4 expected and 56.7 in July.
"The PMI decline in August in the euro area is a sign that the recovery could begin to slow," said Jennifer McKeown of Capital Economics.
"The decline was mainly driven by declines in the index of the manufacturing sector, particularly in Germany, suggesting that the weakening global demand could affect the resumption of exports, as was feared."
If companies continue to recruit, the pace of hiring slowed slightly from July, as the index of employment in manufacturing rose from 51.1 last month to 51.0 in August.
Economic growth in the euro zone came out at 1.0% in the second quarter, more than expected, but it should slow to 0.4% for the period July to September and 0.3% for the three months year.
ADDICTION TO GERMANY AND FRANCE
Especially, the growth differences between countries in the region have increased compared to previous periods.
"We note that (growth) is highly concentrated in the major nations, it has not extended to other peripheral nations and, in many respects, this gap is widening," said Rob Dobson.
"It's the same as in the second quarter, which saw a solid growth, particularly in Germany and to a lesser extent in France, marking a certain imbalance in relation to performance rather mixed for the Spain, Italy and Greece.So, apart from the two main countries, the situation is average. "
The PMI flash Germany show an acceleration of activity in services and a slowdown in the manufacturing sector, quite contrary to that exhibited by France.
In the euro area, the sub-index of producer prices reached its highest level since October 2008, at 50.3 against 49.4 in July. It is only the second time since October 2008 this indicator appears above 50.
This suggests that companies are now able to pass some of their higher costs to their customers.