Declined for the sixth consecutive month, the leading indicators are below the 100 – which distinguishes the increase in lower activity – in most countries of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development.

Japan, the United States and Russia are the only three countries where the leading indicators remain above that level.

The CLI for the OECD area as a whole declined to 100.4 in September from 100.9 in August to 101.4 in July.

The G7 folds 100.6 after 101.1.

According to a draft final statement dated November 2, they should agree at the end of their summit in Cannes on the need for countries with high deficits to put their finances straight and for those who have surplus boost domestic demand.

As part of this plan, Italy, which is in the eye of the storm of the European crisis, promise to reduce debts and deficits (see) to quickly bring in 120% from 2012 in its public debt of national wealth."There is a broad consensus on the need for additional financing (…) We will work on it tonight and tomorrow," she said.

PASSAGES IN WHITE

If the passages devoted to IMF resources and currency remain white, indicating that these issues are still debated, the draft final communique is also no real surprise.

Given the risk of future crises, the G20 leaders are considering a proposal to create a new credit facility in the short term the IMF to help countries that are virtuous face of exogenous shocks ().

The numbers speak for themselves: 50,000 outraged gathered this weekend in Lisbon, 6000 in Frankfurt, 5000 in New York and … no more than a thousand in Paris. The movement which started on the Puerta del Sol square in Madrid to extend to many countries never really took off in the hexagon.But why mobilization is struggling to develop in France, whereas it is a French, Stéphane Hessel, who inspired the movement with his book "Unworthy you"? Several answers.

France is less badly off than its neighbors

"Here we do not have a gun to his head like the Greeks may have with their crisis and the Spanish with their real estate market," said Julien Bayou, co-founder of the collective generation and precarious present in the meetings of the "outraged" French held each week. He said the crisis is felt in France, but not the same as in some countries. It is also the opinion of Robi Morder, Chairman of the studies and research on student movements (germ). "Many young people, especially graduates can expect to enter the world of work without going through the uncertainty," said he in the daily La Croix."It is more complicated in southern Europe, where unemployment is higher among graduates than non-graduates," says researcher Monique Dagnaud to Liberation. The rate of youth unemployment to 45% in Spain when he was 23% in France.

Unfavorable political context

The arrival of the next presidential captures media attention for weeks, and the recent Socialist primary did not help. This reduces the echo can have the movement in France. In addition, it is optimistic about the possible alternatives that demobilizing troops, said Julien Bayou. "In Spain, Greece or even the United States, we have leaders that could be called the left in power. And we know that at the polls, the alternation will not work. So it is mobilized in the streets" , said he."While in France we have a right to be making a right-wing politics, and people in the head the next election." It is against this background that would explain the very high participation in the Socialist primary according to Julien Bayou. "We have seen other profiles went to move to vote in the second round of elections, especially young people," he adds.

The refusal of the "recovery"

In France, social movements are generally handled by the unions and some political parties. But the outraged French refused this form of "recovery", preferring a spontaneous movement. They realized soon and should change their modes of action. "It is true that initially we were quite aggressive vis-à-vis the associations and parties," recognized Delia Fernandez, the collective indignation, of Liberation."This has slowed the mobilization and preventing challenges to reach the street. For their part, they did not understand that we act in a pattern different from theirs. We will now try to cut corners."

The movement is ever convicted?

Not yet. The recent history of France showed that some mobilizations, it took several weeks before the mayonnaise takes. "For us, the mobilizations take time, it took two months for the movement against the First Job Contract off", said Robi Morder. To this researcher, do not bury a mobilization that may, one day to another, take a lot more important. "Be careful because there are embers, it would spark an escalation of the crisis or a big scandal for example, it really starts," said he.

"It would be absurd to book the same treatment to all banks," said Michael Kemmer, CEO of the BDB, in an interview on ARD television channel.

If the recapitalization is needed, they must be implemented in the right tempo, he added.

"First, banks themselves must make use of capital markets, although it is very difficult if not impossible, right now," said Michael Kemmer.

"Then, each country must see if we recapitalize banks and only if it is unable to do that EFSF should intervene," he added, referring to the European Stability Financial.

France and Germany have given themselves until the end of October to overcome many obstacles on the recapitalization of banks, the euro and its sickest member, Greece, and on European Governance, at where the sovereign debt crisis has put down the bank Dexia.

German banks, which have increased their level of capital in recent months, are stable and doing well, said Michael Kemmer.

He added that European leaders should stick to the agreement July 21 on Greece, which provides that private creditors pass a discount of 21% on Greek bond holdings.

Many experts believe that this level of discount ("haircut") is insufficient, forcing banks to take further writedowns in the third quarter.

Deutsche Bank, one of the most important members of the BDB with Commerzbank, said late September that the discount that private investors have agreed to take on Greek sovereign debt in the second bailout of Greece could be greater than 21% retained.

Last week, the German IDW auditors are said German banks could follow the example of Deutsche Bank in the third quarter by re-evaluating their market prices Greek bonds.

For the first time since late 2008, the start of the economic crisis, the number of transactions and house prices falling in France, a trend likely to continue in 2012, according to a survey by the AFP with leading real estate networks. "Sales of existing homes fell 11% in France between the 3rd quarters of 2010 and 2011, while prices fell by 2.7% between the first half and third quarter of 2011," said Laurent Vimont, Chair Century 21, a leading network of estate agents.

Paris alone, due to demand still much stronger than supply, see the prices continue to increase, reaching a new record in Q3 8556 eurs/m2, says Vimont.After a price hike of 22.5% in the second quarter, the highest one-year for 20 years, house prices in the capital will soon level off or even declined slightly, had said in early September notaries in Paris. In the provinces, seven provinces reported, according to Century 21, a fall in prices in Q3: Burgundy (-9.7%), Central (-5.5%), Lorraine (-4.4%), Provence-Alpes Côte d'Azur (-3.7%), Basse-Normandie (-3%), Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie (-3.4%), Champagne-Ardenne (-1.3%).

For Mr. Vimont, the main explanation lies in the fact that "over the solvency of first-time buyers who can not afford to buy, is broken." This decrease since mid-2011 transactions and prices is confirmed by the Real Estate Guy Hiccups."Higher mortgage rates and the presidential election should result in lower overall market in 2012," said its managing director Cédric Monssu. For Nicolas Jacquet, Executive Chairman of Urbania, the next increase in the tax on capital gains on sales of rental and second homes on 1 February 2012, resulted in "significant increase in the number of terms in Sales agencies ".

But in 2012, one can "expect for 2 or 3 years down the number of transactions as a number of people who have not reached withdraw their homes from the sale," he adds . "This announcement will have a devastating effect especially that the liquidity problems of banks should lead to a restriction in the distribution of mortgages," said Bernard Cadeau, president of the Orpi network.But this rush to sell for some households that had exceeded the limit of 15 years for tax exemption on capital gains has unintended consequences. "We remind sellers that we are bound by an obligation of means, not results, and we urge our customers to agree to sign a form stating that we are not liable for administrative delays," said Gilles Ricour Bourges, President for Ile-de-France of Fnaim (National Federation of the estate).

However, one sector is rubbing his hands at the moment: the luxury real estate. "We record a 20% increase in the number of terms because it is necessary that the promise of sale are signed before November 15 to make sure that the final acts to be registered with the notaries before February 1", told AFP Charles-Marie Jottras, Chairman Daniel Féau real estate."Non-standard goods have been no slowdown in demand, on the contrary. The category of quality goods, worth over EUR 1 million, did not suffer either in the capital and stations, sea or mountain fashion, "says Barnes network in a statement.

However, caution remains the watchword.

Bank stocks recorded the highest increase in Europe with a sectoral Stoxx index which gained 3.53%.

In Paris, BNP Paribas (9.78%), Societe Generale (8.76%) and Credit Agricole (4.78%), which was this week in the eye of the storm because of their exposure to Greek and Italian debt, eventually leading to increases in the CAC 40 on market rumors paying for the government to carry out some form of recapitalization.SocGen and BNP did not wish to comment on these rumors.

The gains, however, show small-scale loss of investor confidence in the ability of governments to quickly implement practical solutions to the crisis of sovereign debt and boost savings on the brink of recession on both sides Atlantic.

This cocktail of strong concerns about the banks is causing serious losses in stock market indices.For the week, the CAC 40 dropped 7.29% in Paris and at European level the EuroStoxx 50 index dropped 6.17%.

"RAMPANT FAILURE OF GREECE"

The CAC 40 gained 1.02% Friday to 2810.111 points after touching a session in new low of 2693.21 points in the year, returning to its level in March 2009.

Risk aversion has stalled late in the session, the performance of the German government bond (Bund) and 10 years, fell in the day to a new record low at 1.64%, found its level Thursday (1.75%) at the close of stock markets.

The euro meanwhile pondered over $ 1.35 and was trading around 1.3508 dollar.

Other major European markets, London

gained 0.5%, 0.63% Frankfurt, Milan 1.36%.The pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 index has been 1.52%.

"Operation Twist (the Fed) has failed to revive stock markets. It is a terrible verdict, a confirmation that governments no longer able to stimulate the economy central banks find themselves faced with the challenge to bring to his aid, "wrote Vincent Chaigneau and Ciaran O'Hagan, rates strategist at Societe Generale in their weekly note.

"They will continue to shoot in the dark, hoping to keep away the ghost of recession.Good luck, "they said, stressing that the stress imposed on the funding of banks is" a great threat to the economy. "

Pichard for Franklin, director of Barclays Bourse France, "markets do not stop to include a default rampant in Greece (although it is true that the 'political' do nothing to speed things up) and the recapitalization of some European banks. "

Cyclical stocks such as Technip (-3.93%) and Alstom (-2.52%) recorded the largest declines the CAC 40.

President Barack Obama will propose Monday to raise taxes on millionaires so that they reach at least the same percentage of their income than that applied to middle-class taxpayers, said Saturday the New York Times.

Citing government officials, the newspaper says Obama will present a draft on this issue during a speech at the White House, he calls the "Rule Buffett", named after the multimillionaire Warren E. Buffet.It was recently pointed out that the richest Americans pay a smaller proportion of their income in federal taxes than middle-income employees.

Profits on investments – such as profits from capital, dividends or premiums paid to investors and holders of risky investments – are taxed less than wages, in fact, explains the New York Times. In addition, those receiving more than 106,800 dollars do not pay Social Security tax.

The newspaper said Obama will not show the tax rate or clear it intends to apply the amount it hoped to achieve through this measure and will not provide further details, these should be included in a program long-term deficit reduction.However, it will call savings of $ 300 billion over ten years of health insurance for the elderly and medical aid to the needy.

A joint committee of Congress is working on a bipartisan agreement on the budget to be presented in late November while the Republican representatives opposed the project of the president to tax the companies in the sectors of oil and gas and individual income above $ 200,000. The tax would only affect 0.3% millonnaires taxpayers, less than 450,000 of the 144 million returns recorded in 2010, according to The New York Times.

The Nikkei lost 97.98 points to 8518.57, a lowest level in two and a half years, and Topix, broader, sold 8.13 points (1.08%) to 741.69.

The highest exposure to Europe were particularly hard hit.Canon has lost 4.08% to 3,295 yen.

In early trading, some purchases on the cheap recently battered shares pushed the Nikkei up to 8671.24, but profit-taking quickly reversed the trend.

The values ​​of the video game industry, fell sharply Tuesday after a presentation judged disappointing by Nintendo, have recovered slightly.Square Enix has made 0.48% to 1,475 yen after losing 3.9% on Tuesday.

Also on the rise, Sharp has benefited from the announcement of an expected increase in sales in Indonesia to gain 3.3% to 595 yen.

Ricoh has instead plunged 1.67% to 648 yen after lowering its target price of 900 yen to 600 yen by Macquarie Securities, who expects weak demand for copiers in the second half of the fiscal year.

At 9:13, the CAC 40 index takes 0.54%.

London rose by 0.4% and 0.3% of Milan, Frankfurt rebounds by 0.4% and the EuroStoxx 50 returned 0.46%.

Stoxx index of bank takes 0.53%.

The index fell to -15.4 in September, its lowest level since August 2009, after -13.5 in August.

The current conditions component fell to -3.25 after 3.50, but the expectations rose slightly to -26.75 -29.00 after.