Archive for the 'calculation' Category

The activity decelerated in the euro area, improvement to

Auto Date Monday, August 23rd, 2010

The economic recovery in the euro area slowed slightly in August but companies are more optimistic for the months to come despite differences between countries in the region, show the first results of Monday's monthly survey Markit.

The PMI services, calculated on the basis of responses from purchasing managers of nearly 2,000 firms in the euro area fell slightly to 55.6 against 55.8 last month, but it is slightly better that 'expected as economists polled by Reuters had expected the average to 55.5.

It is over for the twelfth consecutive month the 50 between expansion and contraction of activity.

If growth slows, firms in the services sector, dominant in the 16 countries using the euro as their currency, appear rather more optimistic about the future, the business expectations index falling up to 68 1 after 66.5 in July.

"The recovery still has some momentum but we will witness a slowdown from the exceptional figures observed in the second quarter," warns Rob Dobson of Markit.

France and Germany, the two largest economies in the euro area, strongly rebounded in the second quarter, but this trend was not found in Spain and Italy.

"THE TAKEOVER COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN"

Activity in the industrial sector has also slowed.The PMI manufacturing index is indeed stood at 55.0 in the first estimate in August against 56.7 in July, while economists polled by Reuters had expected 56.2.

The sub-index of production rose from 58.7 in July to 57.2 in August.

The composite index combines the two sectors, fell to 56.1 against 56.4 expected and 56.7 in July.

"The PMI decline in August in the euro area is a sign that the recovery could begin to slow," said Jennifer McKeown of Capital Economics.

"The decline was mainly driven by declines in the index of the manufacturing sector, particularly in Germany, suggesting that the weakening global demand could affect the resumption of exports, as was feared."

If companies continue to recruit, the pace of hiring slowed slightly from July, as the index of employment in manufacturing rose from 51.1 last month to 51.0 in August.

Economic growth in the euro zone came out at 1.0% in the second quarter, more than expected, but it should slow to 0.4% for the period July to September and 0.3% for the three months year.

ADDICTION TO GERMANY AND FRANCE

Especially, the growth differences between countries in the region have increased compared to previous periods.

"We note that (growth) is highly concentrated in the major nations, it has not extended to other peripheral nations and, in many respects, this gap is widening," said Rob Dobson.

"It's the same as in the second quarter, which saw a solid growth, particularly in Germany and to a lesser extent in France, marking a certain imbalance in relation to performance rather mixed for the Spain, Italy and Greece.So, apart from the two main countries, the situation is average. "

The PMI flash Germany show an acceleration of activity in services and a slowdown in the manufacturing sector, quite contrary to that exhibited by France.

In the euro area, the sub-index of producer prices reached its highest level since October 2008, at 50.3 against 49.4 in July. It is only the second time since October 2008 this indicator appears above 50.

This suggests that companies are now able to pass some of their higher costs to their customers.

France and Germany follow the United Kingdom on bank charges

Auto Date Saturday, August 21st, 2010

The British finance minister George Osborne said on Tuesday the introduction of a tax on the assets of banks operating in the United Kingdom, while France and Germany support this measure and prepare to join, at he said.

According to Osborne, the tax on banks' balance sheets will bring the order of 2 billion pounds (2.4 billion euros) per year when it is applied completely. It is expected to set the tax rate to 0.07% with a discount of 0.04% in 2011.

Mr. Osborne, who presented his first budget since the May 6 election, noted that "the failure of banks has imposed huge costs to the rest of society", and was thus "fair" that they are contributing to the economy. "Some have argued we should wait for every G20 introduce such a tax."I think it is neither fair nor reasonable," he said.

A "fair share to reflect the risk" posed by banks

The minister said that "the French and Germans had joined the United Kingdom today by pledging to introduce a tax" on banks' assets."In a joint statement, he said, our three Governments undertake to ensure that our banks make their fair contribution to reflect the risk they pose."

Published on the website shortly after the British Treasury, the Joint Declaration of the French, British and German banking fees "covers much of the ideas raised by Paris and Berlin yesterday in a letter to Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, G20 a few days in Toronto.

"In light of the agreement within the G20, that the financial sector expected to contribute immediately and substantially to pay for expenses associated with government intervention to rescue the banking system – (…) the French, British German and suggest introducing fees based on assets of banks, "said this particular statement.

"The UK tax is announced today, France will present the details of his in the upcoming budget (and) Germany has announced the general framework of a tax credit in late March and will present the bill to the summer, "recalls the text.

It ensures that those three charges "may differ from one another, to reflect economic conditions and tax systems differ from one country to another, but the level of tax take into account the need ensure an equal level of play "between countries, says he.

"The French, British and German want to see fully implement the ambitious program of financial sector reform, the G20 and they look forward to discussing these proposals further with their international partners in the G20 summit on June 24, concludes the text.

The French president Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel had written in the same direction on Monday Mr. Harper also requesting that consideration be put in place a tax on financial transactions.

Veolia is cautious about prospects for recovery

Auto Date Friday, August 6th, 2010

Veolia Environnement publishes interim results up, thanks to the rising prices of raw materials recycled, but expressed caution about prospects for recovery of the waste market in the second half.

The world leader in environmental services has estimated that an operational perspective, the second half might look like in the second quarter, during which the situation has improved for his work "clean".

"The economic recovery is still extremely fragile, it is difficult to decide on the level of commodity prices (…), nor even on the level of volumes we observe in the final months of year.That is why we prefer to be cautious, however, said its chief financial officer, Pierre-François Riolacci, during a conference call.

"In activity cleanliness, it is true that we have observed a reversal between the first and second quarters," he said, mentioning in particular "a tremor on the books" in France and the United States.

"We tend to say that the second half might look like in the second quarter, in which case that we would generally quite favorable."

Veolia has reiterated that it was on the full year free cash flow positive after dividends and an increase in its recurring operating income.

The group also confirmed that it was three billion euros in sales over the period 2009-2011 – from 1.3 billion achieved in 2009 and 766 million in the first half of 2010 – and was continuing the implementation of a savings program overall 250 million for 2010.

VEOLIA-TRANSDEV COULD ENTER STOCK MARKET TO 2ND HALF 2011

Pierre-Francois Riolacci said the group would "do everything to exceed" its savings target and that the transfers could exceed one billion euros this year.

In the first six months of the year, the savings program has contributed to the growth of cash flow (CFO) operational Veolia up to 132 million euros.

The Chief Financial Officer also considered that the proposed merger with Transdev in the passenger could be completed by year end or early 2011.

"The most likely scenario (from the IPO of the new entity) is the second half of 2011.This is our central scenario, "he said.

Veolia in the first half net profit group share of 374 million euros (+69.9%), an operational CFO 1,885,000 (+0.2% at constant exchange rates), operating profit of 1.125 million ( +7.9% at constant exchange rates) and a turnover of 17.177 million (-3.3% at constant exchange rates).

According to the consensus reached by the editor of Reuters, analysts on average expected a net profit of 346 million euros, an operating cash flow of 1.908 million and a turnover of 16.924 million.

Recurring operating income of Veolia appears in turn to 1.078 million euros at 30 June, an increase of 6.6%.

At 9:30, the track was down 1.84% at 21.30 euros while the CAC 40 gained 0.69%. Analysts based in London, "the weak economy continue to weigh on the figures in the second half."

The group's net financial debt stood at 16.027 million euros at June 30th against 15.127 million in late 2009, largely because of an unfavorable effect of foreign exchange of 674 million.

Schneider Electric raises its margin target for 2010

Auto Date Friday, July 30th, 2010

Schneider Electric has raised its margin target for 2010 after the publication of a double-digit growth in sales in the second quarter thanks to the performance of emerging countries which still support the group in the second half.

In this context, the company says it should achieve in the second half of the year an increase in organic revenue "broadly comparable to that of the first half.

Schneider Electric is now an EBITA margin of around 15.5% before restructuring costs and impact of consolidation of Areva Distribution.

So far, the group anticipated an improvement in EBITA margin of approximately 14% before restructuring costs and impact of integration Areva Distribution, against 12.9% in 2009 and 16% in 2008.

Schneider, the world leader in low voltage electrical equipment and number two for medium voltage, has reported an EBITA before restructuring and integration charges of Areva Distribution of 1.301 million euros in the first half, up 44%.

Its margin is increased 3.6 points to 15.2%.

The net result has been doubled to 735 million euros.

Turnover increased by 10.5% in the first semester of € 8.571 million (6.4% organic), including 4.661 million in the second quarter, organic growth of 10.2%.

Jean-Pascal Tricoire, chief executive of the group, said he has received "the diversification of (its) end markets, industrial markets and data centers were the first to rebound."

He added in a statement that "the new dynamic economies continue their solid with double digit growth.

Schneider Action closed Thursday at 86.4 euros, giving a market capitalization of around 23 billion euros. Since the beginning of the year, the stock has gained about 5.7% after being awarded more than 54% throughout 2009.

The banks have passed the tests of soundness probably followed

Auto Date Sunday, July 25th, 2010

So few banks have failed this test of strength by 91 European institutions passed that investors should focus on groups which narrowly passed the test when markets open Monday.

Only seven European banks have failed these tests, including five Spanish settlements, and may need to raise 3.5 billion euros of capital, significantly less than expected.

However, quality testing, to assess the resilience of banks to a new recession over the next two years, has been criticized, including some judging too easy.

The results of these tests has also been somewhat overshadowed by a plethora of data on European economies suggesting that banks may face less severe economic pressures and defects on smaller loans previously imagined.

Accordingly, investors should make their own judgments on a case by case, largely due to additional data from tests such as those for the portfolios of sovereign debt, to determine what could be the next sector weaknesses.

QUESTIONS ON THE SEVERITY OF SELECTED SCENARIOS

"With so few banks have failed, investors will question whether the economic scenarios have been sufficiently severe," said Jon Peace, an analyst at Nomura.

"It is natural for investors to consider the margin with which banks have gone," he adds, citing the large margin of success of Scandinavian and British institutions, while banks Greek, Spanish and Italian 's have come out with more difficulty.

Then he was asked banks to manage to maintain a solvency ratio of less than 6% to pass the test, Sept. 10 institutions reported a Tier 1 ratio between only 6 and 7%.

Among these facilities include Deutsche Postbank, Piraeus Bank, Allied Irish Banks, Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Banca UBI, Bankinter and eight small Spanish settlements.

If an objective test was to facilitate the financing contracts with banks recently met with difficulties in this area, schools still considered too risky could nevertheless continue to have problems, except to raise more capital.

"History is not necessarily complete, and if financing costs do not improve for some banks, then we would not be surprised to see additional resistance tests (carried out) by some central banks to future, "warns Jon Peace of Nomura.

As investors take position on the results of resistance testing Monday at the opening of markets, central bank governors and heads of Supervisors will meet in Switzerland to discuss the reform proposals on the strengthening of the capital own banks.

But after their success in tests of strength, European banks may find it difficult to argue that they can apply a stricter financial regulation.

"Banks are ready to begin implementing the new rules are necessary to strengthen the capital reserves and liquidity management of banks," also told Reuters Insider, after the publication of results of resistance testing, Vitor Constancio, Vice-President of the ECB.

The activities of Accor hotels up

Auto Date Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

Accor announced Tuesday an increase of 5.1% of its turnover in the hotel industry in the first half on a comparable basis, driven by the high and mid-range.

The fourth group behind global hotel InterContinental, Marriott and Hilton and Starwood publish its first financial data since the demerger of its business of prepaid services, Edenred, July 2.

The total turnover of the group were up by 6.1%, representing a growth of 4.7% on a comparable basis, to 2.849 million euros.

On the only hotel business, which include brands Ibis, Sofitel and Motel 6 in the U.S., net sales increased 7.5% as reported at 2.723 million.

In the second quarter alone, the organic growth of the hotel was up 8.2% at constant scope and exchange rates.

"In most countries, especially in Europe, the recovery began in the first quarter accelerated in the second quarter, thanks to a favorable base effect," said Accor in a statement.

The group claims to have earned a higher "backed" by its occupancy rate in the upper and mid-range and higher average prices of its main markets, France, Germany and the United Kingdom.

Hotel groups noted an improvement in demand, the slow economic recovery that encourage consumers to resume their journeys.

Marriott International issued last week an increase in profit in the second quarter, benefiting from increased prices of its rooms in North America.

Accor announced the sale in early July Newrest 60% of its business catering on trains of the Compagnie des Wagons-Lits (CWL).

Edenred Monday announced an increase of 4.7% of its turnover in the second quarter, growth of Latin American operations have helped offset a more difficult economic environment in Europe.

The shares closed up 0.8% to 23.1850 euros, giving a market capitalization of 5.28 billion. It fell 39% since the beginning of the year.

The quarterly results from JPMorgan exceed the consensus

Auto Date Friday, July 16th, 2010

JPMorgan Chase reported better than expected results in the second quarter with a decline in provision for credit losses, something that gives hope to investors that things return to normal in the bank.

However, the action declined substantially over 2% as investors aggrieved by his assessment of economic conditions.The KBW bank index was weakening even more, 2.45%.

Moreover, the bulk of quarterly earnings from revenue sources that are not stable, such as reduced bad debt provisions, while in some segments, like the conventional mortgage, there are more and more bad debt, which bodes ill for banks such as Citigroup and Bank of America, which publishes Friday.

Income trading at JPMorgan has declined but it is better than expected, which is perhaps a positive sign for banks such as Goldman Sachs Group and Morgan Stanley, who announce their quarterly results next week.

"The results are just adequate and there is a little less than it seems," said Doug Kass (Seabreeze Partners Management).

The outstanding loans of the bank has continued to decline, showing it is reluctant to risk new loans yet.She says she can not yet assess how the reform of financial regulation will affect its accounts, information, precisely, investors were waiting impatiently.

ONE LESS OPTIMISTIC DG

The CEO Jamie Dimon appeared less optimistic about the future than it was in the first quarter, when he said that the economic recovery of the United States could be solid.

"It is too early to measure the improvement that we observe from now" in the consumer credit, which yields "are unacceptable", he has merely stated Thursday.

"We do not know what will happen to house prices and we believe we are not alone," he later told analysts.

The bank reported a net profit of 4.8 billion dollars (3.7 billion euros) or $ 1.09 per share, against 2.7 billion (28 cents per share) for the corresponding period last year.

Net income for the investment bank fell 6% to $ 1.38 billion. The second quarter was marked by markets that have evolved sawtooth, alternating example falls in the stock exchanges with peaks rising in the bond market.

The income earned by the JPMorgan bond, commodity and currency has dropped 28% to 3.56 billion.The bond trading has been a major driver of earnings of all major banks.

The bank posted a windfall of $ 1.5 billion, or 36 cents per share, due to the reduction in provision for credit during the quarter.Excluding this benefit, the result announced by JPMorgan – 73 cents – more than analysts' consensus that emerged at 67 cents per share, according to Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S.

The bank does not renew every quarter this year discount stores but Jamie Dimon said it was the thing that needed to be done during this quarter.

He said that the bank has a solid liquidity, having repurchased $ 500 million of its shares in the first half, but noted that the bank would be more certain of its capital before increasing its dividend.

Many banks want to raise the dividend but regulators see it a bad eye, which makes more likely redemptions.

The bank said its losses on consumer loans, mortgages, credit cards and other debts had declined in the second quarter both compared to the first three months of the year versus the second quarter 2009.

JPMorgan has finally reported a charge of $ 550 million charge related to the British banking bonuses. She had previously launched a warning on that charge, saying it would be an "important" in the quarter.