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For the first time since 2008, the price and the number of transactions in the old housing declined in France in 2011. Only Paris continues to grow. http://www.flickr.com/photos/gcattiaux/

For the first time since late 2008, the start of the economic crisis, the number of transactions and house prices falling in France, a trend likely to continue in 2012, according to a survey by the AFP with leading real estate networks. "Sales of existing homes fell 11% in France between the 3rd quarters of 2010 and 2011, while prices fell by 2.7% between the first half and third quarter of 2011," said Laurent Vimont, Chair Century 21, a leading network of estate agents.

Paris alone, due to demand still much stronger than supply, see the prices continue to increase, reaching a new record in Q3 8556 eurs/m2, says Vimont.After a price hike of 22.5% in the second quarter, the highest one-year for 20 years, house prices in the capital will soon level off or even declined slightly, had said in early September notaries in Paris. In the provinces, seven provinces reported, according to Century 21, a fall in prices in Q3: Burgundy (-9.7%), Central (-5.5%), Lorraine (-4.4%), Provence-Alpes Côte d'Azur (-3.7%), Basse-Normandie (-3%), Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie (-3.4%), Champagne-Ardenne (-1.3%).

For Mr. Vimont, the main explanation lies in the fact that "over the solvency of first-time buyers who can not afford to buy, is broken." This decrease since mid-2011 transactions and prices is confirmed by the Real Estate Guy Hiccups."Higher mortgage rates and the presidential election should result in lower overall market in 2012," said its managing director Cédric Monssu. For Nicolas Jacquet, Executive Chairman of Urbania, the next increase in the tax on capital gains on sales of rental and second homes on 1 February 2012, resulted in "significant increase in the number of terms in Sales agencies ".

But in 2012, one can "expect for 2 or 3 years down the number of transactions as a number of people who have not reached withdraw their homes from the sale," he adds . "This announcement will have a devastating effect especially that the liquidity problems of banks should lead to a restriction in the distribution of mortgages," said Bernard Cadeau, president of the Orpi network.But this rush to sell for some households that had exceeded the limit of 15 years for tax exemption on capital gains has unintended consequences. "We remind sellers that we are bound by an obligation of means, not results, and we urge our customers to agree to sign a form stating that we are not liable for administrative delays," said Gilles Ricour Bourges, President for Ile-de-France of Fnaim (National Federation of the estate).

However, one sector is rubbing his hands at the moment: the luxury real estate. "We record a 20% increase in the number of terms because it is necessary that the promise of sale are signed before November 15 to make sure that the final acts to be registered with the notaries before February 1", told AFP Charles-Marie Jottras, Chairman Daniel Féau real estate."Non-standard goods have been no slowdown in demand, on the contrary. The category of quality goods, worth over EUR 1 million, did not suffer either in the capital and stations, sea or mountain fashion, "says Barnes network in a statement.

Greece missed the deficit targets that were assigned by its international donors for this year and next, according to figures released Sunday by the Greek Ministry of Finance after approval by the Government of the draft budget 2012.

Athens expects the deficit to reach 8.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) this year, while the European Union (EU) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had requested that the deficit does not exceed 7 , 6% of GDP.The draft budget projects the deficit will be reduced to 6.8% in 2012, against a target of 6.5%.

"There is money three months before the end of 2011 and the final estimate of a deficit to 8.5% of GDP can be achieved if the state apparatus and the citizens act accordingly," the Ministry in a statement.

"The draft budget will be submitted tomorrow (Monday) in parliament," he says.

Investor confidence in the euro area in September hit its lowest level in over two years, the institute said Monday Sentix.

The index fell to -15.4 in September, its lowest level since August 2009, after -13.5 in August.

The current conditions component fell to -3.25 after 3.50, but the expectations rose slightly to -26.75 -29.00 after.

The federal agency that oversees the mortgage market in the United States may soon file a complaint against several major banks for their role in the subprime crisis, which weighed on bank stocks on Wall Street Friday.

The Federal Agency for Real Estate Finance (Federal Housing Finance Agency), which oversees the giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, accuses several major banks have given a misleading picture of the quality of mortgages bundled and sold during the housing bubble, said on Friday a source close to the matter.

These loans, said subprime, are the cause of the bursting of the real estate bubble in late 2008.Institutions making home loans had significantly eased lending standards to attract new customers and sell homes they had no way to pay, betting on a continued increase in the property market.

The existence of this complaint in a pending first was reported Thursday by The New York Times before being confirmed Friday by a source contacted by Reuters.

The source declined to name the specific bank, but according to the New York Times, citing three people familiar with the matter, the government agency will continue to include Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank.

By 1515 GMT on Wall Street, as BofA unscrewed more than 6%, yielding 3.5% JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs lost 4.6% while the Dow Jones fell by 1.6%.

Costly litigation

The complaint will be filed Friday or next Tuesday, understands the New York Times. Those responsible for BofA, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs did not wish to make comment.

"We can not express a complaint which we are not aware and has not yet been filed," said a spokesman for Deutsche Bank in the NYT.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac lost more than $ 30 billion mainly due to purchases of securities backed by real estate debt.It took public money to correct their accounts.

The federal agency in housing finance has already filed a complaint against UBS in July, seeking to recover at least $ 900 million and, according to those quoted by the New York Times, the new proceedings will be of a similar financial scale.

The major U.S. banks are already facing the possibility of having to pay tens of billions of dollars in settlement of disputes relating to their activity in the mortgage.

This scenario would further reduce their levels of capital, potentially paving the way for a credit crunch even though the housing market is at half mast and that the U.S. economy as a whole shows signs of slowing down.

Sign of anxiety about this, the U.S. Federal Reserve has asked Bank of America to present the measures it would take if business conditions were deteriorating, reports the Wall Street Journal Friday, citing people familiar with the matter.

The Russian gas group Gazprom said Tuesday a 42% increase in profits in the first quarter to 478.5 billion rubles (11.5 billion euros).

The markets did not expect that an average increase of 29%.

Revenues increased 38% to 1.317 billion rubles, the gas monopoly of European customers increased their purchases.

Analysts polled by Reuters on average expected a turnover of 1.259 billion rubles.

In a statement, Gazprom said its results were driven by an average increase of 21% of its gas tariffs from one year to another, as well as its diversification into energy.

The total gas sales rose 10% in the first quarter to 178.3 billion cubic meters.Sales in Russia remained stable at 102.5 billion m3, but exports to Europe rose by 8.4% to 46.6 billion m3, and those toward the former republics of the Soviet Union jumped 70.5% to 29 billion m3.

Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Christine Lagarde warned on Saturday against the risk of the global economy plunging into recession and called for a rapid and coordinated political action, particularly in restructuring European banks.

"The events of this summer showed that we were in a dangerous new phase," she said at the annual meetings of the Fed in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

"The stakes are clear: we are in danger of compromising a fragile recovery.We must act immediately. "

Advanced economies must develop long-term plans to control their debt, while ensuring that conservation measures will need not jeopardize the recovery, she added.

"Macroeconomic policy needs to support growth," said the former French Finance Minister in his first major speech since taking office as head of the IMF in July.

"Monetary policy also needs to be extremely flexible because the risk of recession is higher than inflation."

She stressed the need to restructure European banks.For her, the most effective way to effect a recapitalization would be "substantial", if possible through private channels or so through a form of European public funding.

She urged European countries to implement programs to reduce "credible" in their public deficits, relying in particular on the European Central Bank.

About the situation in the United States, she said that the need for long-term fiscal consolidation should not obscure the importance of supporting growth in the short term.

"Who can believe that commitments to reduce spending could survive a long stagnation, with unemployment still high and face the social discontent?"

European banks including Societe Generale and Dexia still suffer from their bad loans, but also another evil, more discreet: their dependence on debt markets to finance their operations.

Unlike some U.S. banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, which finance a larger share of loans with the deposits of their customers, private banks in Europe generally depend more on their loans in capital markets in the short term.

This exposes them to the whims of investors, may require a sudden interest rates higher for their money, or even remove it from the market place and the banks to thank you for a government bailout.

The sudden increases observed in recent weeks on the rates of short-term loan of some European banks in this respect revived memories of the 2008 financial crisis, when Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers collapsed in a liquidity shortage .

The recent turmoil highlighted the need for the European banks most vulnerable, to adjust their loan commitments that can actually pay their deposits.

"The European banking system must be redesigned and re-capitalized," said one institutional investor this money markets and based in New York, speaking on condition of anonymity to avoid offending customers.

Many banks have sought since the 2008 crisis, to raise their levels of deposits, with some difficulty.

In Europe, public banks and savings banks enjoy tax benefits because they can maintain their stranglehold on the market, said Rocco Huang, a professor at the University of Michigan.

The race then draws customers to higher costs, so that some institutions are turning to overseas, such as the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia, which recently expanded its network in Turkey.

FINANCING RISK

Fears about the financial health of European banks is easily exacerbated by their lack of transparency about their cash reserves, analysts said.Lack of clear data, investors resort to inadequate instruments, such as loan-deposit ratios ("loan-to-deposit ').

Dexia loans represent 2.5 times the sum of its deposits, according to data compiled by Keefe, Bruyette and Woods.For Societe Generale, the ratio "loan-to-deposit" is 1.2.

By comparison, loans JPMorgan use only two-thirds of it are lists of deposits under its customers.

To make up the difference, European banks therefore depend heavily on capital markets, including money market short-term, which can be risky in the current environment of distrust of investors.

The credit default swaps (CDS) – which measure the cost of insurance on default of payment – General Corporation has more than doubled in less than three months, reaching 303 basis points (bps) on August 19 against 138 bps on May 31, according to Markit.

At the same time, the share of the Company generally has lost about 49% of its value.For comparison, the CDS JPMorgan rose 75 bps to 125 bps, and the action has lost 21%.

This movement took place when a strong seller that major U.S. investment funds have withdrawn money market billions of dollars they previously injected in European banks through short-term loans.

In June and July, according to Fitch Ratings, the top ten funds have pulled 70 billion dollars (48.38 billion euros) or 18.4% of the money they had lent to banks Europe.

Finance is increasingly global, many of these funds have explained to need this cash if their investors wanted their money out of fear of failure to pay the United States.

This sudden loss of funding has forced banks to seek their dollars elsewhere, taking their rising borrowing costs in a way that seemed to indicate that they were in need of funding, said Mark Pawlak, strategist and vice president of Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.

Societe Generale then attempted to allay fears about its financial strength by providing investors with details on its balance sheet during a presentation on August 3.

"The bank has no liquidity problems, its activity is healthy and its investment capabilities are intact," he said last weekend Oudéa Frederick, CEO of Societe Generale, in an interview with Journal du Dimanche.

Neither Dexia nor Societe Generale have wished to comment during this analysis.

Hewlett-Packard has made a bid Thursday to the British publisher of Autonomy software and mentioned the possible split in the group with his branch of PC.

HP has offered to buy all outstanding shares of Autonomy for the price of 42.11 dollars per share for a total transaction of $ 10.3 billion (7.1 billion euros).

He also announced the abandonment of its shelf TouchPad who has not had the expected success.

The group also sees a possible split with the PC industry, faced with slow growth and low margins.This is one of the largest divisions of HP but also one of the least profitable of the group.

The American manufacturer has announced a little earlier than expected revenues rose for the third quarter to $ 31.2 billion (2.17 billion euros) against 30.7 billion a year earlier in accordance with the expectations of Wall Street.

The group lowered its annual forecast for the third consecutive time.It now expects an annual turnover of between 127.2 and 127.6 billion dollars, against a previous estimate of between 129 and 130 billion.

The forecast of earnings per share was also down, with a range from 3.59 to 3.70 dollars against a previous forecast of at least 4.27 dollars.

The title, which closed down 6%, down 2.1% after closure of the exchanges on Wall Street.

Germany and France are convinced, the Tobin tax should be adopted in Europe. Yet critics are numerous, and markets are particularly skeptical.

This time is the right one? For years now that the tax on financial transactions is discussed in Europe, the leaders of the euro area has never been convincing. Tuesday night, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel said they would suggest that the European Union in September of a tax on financial transactions, "an obvious need" according to the German Chancellor. The two leaders did not specify the terms of this measure, but the French Minister of Economy, Baroin, and his German counterpart, Wolfgang Schäuble, confirmed to be working earnestly on the subject.The tax is "the subject of extensive work with the German Ministry of Finance," according to Bercy.

Many critics and fuzzy terms

For several months now that the European Commission relaunched the idea of ​​a European tax on financial transactions, which, if it was fixed between 0.01% and 0.001% of the transaction, would yield between 30 and 50 billion euros per year. MEPs had then voted by a large majority (529 for, 127 against). A tax as proposed by the Commission could fund the EU budget to alleviate the contributions of member states.

But this tax, partly designed to limit speculation, is not without its critics. Too easily circumvented, too complicated to implement, too risky …since its development in the late 70's by the economist James Tobin tax on financial transactions is routinely ostracized, especially by its critics assert the impossibility of setting up a different scale than the global . In fact, if the tax does not apply to all financial markets, it may benefit those who do not have adopted and which will recover, de facto, the flow of transactions. A warning given recently by the ECB President, Jean-Claude Trichet, who said that "a tax imposed in Europe and not elsewhere would result in a significant loss of activity for Europe."

London reservations

But this time, Brussels is certain, the project is expected to reduce the risk of outsourcing transactions with a plate large enough to avoid trade-offs between financial products.Arguments that clearly did not echo long-awaited in the British, the most resistant to the device. "The government will continue to conduct discussions with international partners (…) but otherwise the relevant transactions will simply move to countries that do not apply," he said including a spokesman for the UK Treasury Wednesday. But without the agreement of the United Kingdom, impossible to adopt the draft. Even the Berlin admits the tax on financial transactions should apply to the 27 EU members, assured the spokesman for the German government. According to the Irish Minister for Finance, the tax would ultimately very unlikely to achieve unanimity among member states."There will be many objections from countries with strong financial services sector, such as Luxembourg, the Netherlands, and even Paris," he argued.

Markets do not believe that half

Little appreciated in the early morning by the financial markets, this proposal was eventually discredited quickly by banks and stock traders who were quick to report their skepticism about the project. The association of German cooperative banks BVR, quoted by Reuters, said for example that the tax would fail to restore stability in the markets if it concerned only the euro area. "In the end, the financial sector has not suffered the ad simply because nobody believes," concludes one analyst Saxo Bank.

The trade deficit the U.S. has grown against all odds in June to its highest level since October 2008, due to a decline in exports and imports indicate a slowdown in global demand, according to figures released Thursday by Commerce.

The trade balance posted a deficit of 53.07 billion dollars, while the market expected it to be reduced to 48 billion.

In May, the deficit had risen to 50.83 billion (50.23 billion in the first estimate).

Exports fell 2.3% against -0.5% in May, faster than imports (-0.8% after +2.9% in May).