US & World News

Spanish airline Iberia has reported an operating loss Friday in weaker than expected due to higher demand for passenger transport and air freight to offset the negative impact of the ash cloud of April.

Iberia, which plans to merge with British Airways by the end of the year, said he had lost 72 million euros in the first half, against a consensus at 88 million euros.

"Aside from the expected recovery in air traffic, which has really supported these positive results was the significant improvement in yields," commented Elena Fernandez, an analyst at Ahorro Corporacion Spanish broker.

Yields of Iberia, ie the revenue generated per passenger on each mile flown, grew 7.8% in the first half.

Iberia estimated 20 million losses generated by the interruption of traffic caused by the ash cloud of April.But analysts say the real impact is not necessarily so bad.

"They could also sell tickets more expensive during this period," said Elena Fernandez.

In the second quarter alone, Iberia posted a net profit, ending six consecutive quarters of losses.

British Airways, Air France and Lufthansa said they expect to return to equilibrium at the operational level in 2010.

Title Iberia, which took 35% since the beginning of the year in the hope of a successful merger with BA, was down 0.82%) 2.550 Euros while the Spanish stock market index lost 0 27%.

The turnover of the company grew by 2.8% to 2.23 billion euros in the first six months of the year, supported by a rebound in demand for business class and air cargo, while that net losses were reduced to 21 million euros, the company continues to apply stringent cost controls.

The prediction of analysts polled by Reuters gave a turnover of 2.196 billion euros and a net loss of 41 million.

The Indian division of Renault will launch five models from mid-2011 and mid-2013 to meet growing demand in this rapidly growing market, said Thursday the French carmaker's CEO for India, Marc Nassif .

The small vehicles, built on the platform of its Japanese partner Nissan, launched in 2012, he said on the sidelines of a conference on the automobile.

He said that the cars in question are sold under the Renault brand at a competitive price.

The Renault-Nissan is also working with the specialist Indian two-wheeler Bajaj Auto to build a low-cost car to be launched by end 2012.

Marc Nassif has also said he set the objective of selling 75.000 vehicles in India in 2013.

The economic recovery in the euro area slowed slightly in August but companies are more optimistic for the months to come despite differences between countries in the region, show the first results of Monday's monthly survey Markit.

The PMI services, calculated on the basis of responses from purchasing managers of nearly 2,000 firms in the euro area fell slightly to 55.6 against 55.8 last month, but it is slightly better that 'expected as economists polled by Reuters had expected the average to 55.5.

It is over for the twelfth consecutive month the 50 between expansion and contraction of activity.

If growth slows, firms in the services sector, dominant in the 16 countries using the euro as their currency, appear rather more optimistic about the future, the business expectations index falling up to 68 1 after 66.5 in July.

"The recovery still has some momentum but we will witness a slowdown from the exceptional figures observed in the second quarter," warns Rob Dobson of Markit.

France and Germany, the two largest economies in the euro area, strongly rebounded in the second quarter, but this trend was not found in Spain and Italy.

"THE TAKEOVER COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN"

Activity in the industrial sector has also slowed.The PMI manufacturing index is indeed stood at 55.0 in the first estimate in August against 56.7 in July, while economists polled by Reuters had expected 56.2.

The sub-index of production rose from 58.7 in July to 57.2 in August.

The composite index combines the two sectors, fell to 56.1 against 56.4 expected and 56.7 in July.

"The PMI decline in August in the euro area is a sign that the recovery could begin to slow," said Jennifer McKeown of Capital Economics.

"The decline was mainly driven by declines in the index of the manufacturing sector, particularly in Germany, suggesting that the weakening global demand could affect the resumption of exports, as was feared."

If companies continue to recruit, the pace of hiring slowed slightly from July, as the index of employment in manufacturing rose from 51.1 last month to 51.0 in August.

Economic growth in the euro zone came out at 1.0% in the second quarter, more than expected, but it should slow to 0.4% for the period July to September and 0.3% for the three months year.

ADDICTION TO GERMANY AND FRANCE

Especially, the growth differences between countries in the region have increased compared to previous periods.

"We note that (growth) is highly concentrated in the major nations, it has not extended to other peripheral nations and, in many respects, this gap is widening," said Rob Dobson.

"It's the same as in the second quarter, which saw a solid growth, particularly in Germany and to a lesser extent in France, marking a certain imbalance in relation to performance rather mixed for the Spain, Italy and Greece.So, apart from the two main countries, the situation is average. "

The PMI flash Germany show an acceleration of activity in services and a slowdown in the manufacturing sector, quite contrary to that exhibited by France.

In the euro area, the sub-index of producer prices reached its highest level since October 2008, at 50.3 against 49.4 in July. It is only the second time since October 2008 this indicator appears above 50.

This suggests that companies are now able to pass some of their higher costs to their customers.

The French carmakers are struggling to convince the stock market despite strong results and promising new models, preferring investors since the beginning of their German competitors.

Titles PSA Peugeot Citroen and Renault have lost 1.3% and 2.7% since 1 January, while BMW has jumped 55%, 64% of Volkswagen and Daimler by 42%.

As part of its quarterly results, BMW wins 4% Thursday afternoon and brought in its wake the entire European car signs the largest increase sector, which had not occurred the week at last accounts of Renault and PSA, yet robust.

Daimler has a market capitalization of 43.5 billion euros, Volkswagen and BMW 34 billion 26 billion.Renault weighs only about ten billion in stock and PSA about five billion.

"The French builders, very dependent on volume, are penalized by the fears that now surround the market with the disappearance of the scrappage scheme", says Kristina Church, an analyst at Barclays Capital."Nobody really wants to invest in these values as the horizon of the second half of 2011 and will not be more clear."

"The Germans, however, the presence of an upscale offer a strong position earlier in the emerging markets are positive for margins, hence the preference of investors."

Barclays Capital, to "underweight" on the two French groups but to "overweight" on BMW and VW, filed Monday for preferred values of analysts, on the basis of the estimates I / B / E / S. Renault arrives in fourth place, while the third six months earlier, and PSA advanced to fifth place when he was second earlier.

The leading trio is exclusively Germanic.BMW is the preferred value, affirmative action comes from Volkswagen and Daimler comes second to third place.

ALWAYS ON DOUBTS ON THE REST OF THE YEAR

This partly explains the suspicion that PSA has signed the largest drop in the CAC 40 last Wednesday, giving up 4% on the day it released interim results good. Friday, showed that Renault is its strength, which did not prevent long hesitation before the title is moving upward to close with a gain of 1.75%.

Action PSA also a victim of profit taking after rally seen since late May, is penalized by the uncertainties surrounding the position of mid-range group.Morgan Stanley also prefers Renault, although the bank regrets that it, unlike PSA, has not yet been set a target of annual profit and has merely a forecast of cash flows.

"The common perception is that you can not make money on cars simple and small.This assumption may no longer be true that decade it ", says Morgan Stanley.

The difference in treatment between the French and Germans are also due to a time lag effect "scrappage" which has enabled the sector to weather the storm.

In Germany, where support has disappeared in September 2009, the market has been adversely affected early in the year, while in France, their gradual disappearance is felt that in recent months.

THE FRENCH EXPECTED TO TOP WORLD

Daimler and BMW shares have gained 40% and 50% in 2009, while PSA and Renault have almost doubled their course.

As for Volkswagen, Europe's number one, he has won more than 70% in stock last year.

If we compare the performance since late 2008, the contrast between the two sides of the Rhine becomes less striking: BMW has won more than 100% Volkswagen 93.5%, nearly 94% PSA and Renault over 90%. Over the period, Daimler took 56.5%.

Despite regular incursions of the French – the Latitude Renault and Peugeot 508 are the latest examples – the segment of large high-end road is the prerogative of the German trio BWM, Audi (Volkswagen) and Mercedes (Daimler). Manufacturers Hexagon will therefore still to convince investors that their strategic choices are viable and that the success of the Mégane, Duster, C3 and 3008 will be achieved sustainably in their accounts.

The Paris Motor Show in early October in Paris, they provide such an opportunity.After two shows at the American held in late 2009 and early 2010 by PSA for the presentation to analysts of its new strategic plan and the new image of the Peugeot brand, it was the turn of Renault to unveil its future strategy in February 2011 .

"Analysts are always fond of presentation that management anticipates," said Kristina Church. "They like to be told of strategy whatsoever."

Schneider Electric has raised its margin target for 2010 after the publication of a double-digit growth in sales in the second quarter thanks to the performance of emerging countries which still support the group in the second half.

In this context, the company says it should achieve in the second half of the year an increase in organic revenue "broadly comparable to that of the first half.

Schneider Electric is now an EBITA margin of around 15.5% before restructuring costs and impact of consolidation of Areva Distribution.

So far, the group anticipated an improvement in EBITA margin of approximately 14% before restructuring costs and impact of integration Areva Distribution, against 12.9% in 2009 and 16% in 2008.

Schneider, the world leader in low voltage electrical equipment and number two for medium voltage, has reported an EBITA before restructuring and integration charges of Areva Distribution of 1.301 million euros in the first half, up 44%.

Its margin is increased 3.6 points to 15.2%.

The net result has been doubled to 735 million euros.

Turnover increased by 10.5% in the first semester of € 8.571 million (6.4% organic), including 4.661 million in the second quarter, organic growth of 10.2%.

Jean-Pascal Tricoire, chief executive of the group, said he has received "the diversification of (its) end markets, industrial markets and data centers were the first to rebound."

He added in a statement that "the new dynamic economies continue their solid with double digit growth.

Schneider Action closed Thursday at 86.4 euros, giving a market capitalization of around 23 billion euros. Since the beginning of the year, the stock has gained about 5.7% after being awarded more than 54% throughout 2009.

So few banks have failed this test of strength by 91 European institutions passed that investors should focus on groups which narrowly passed the test when markets open Monday.

Only seven European banks have failed these tests, including five Spanish settlements, and may need to raise 3.5 billion euros of capital, significantly less than expected.

However, quality testing, to assess the resilience of banks to a new recession over the next two years, has been criticized, including some judging too easy.

The results of these tests has also been somewhat overshadowed by a plethora of data on European economies suggesting that banks may face less severe economic pressures and defects on smaller loans previously imagined.

Accordingly, investors should make their own judgments on a case by case, largely due to additional data from tests such as those for the portfolios of sovereign debt, to determine what could be the next sector weaknesses.

QUESTIONS ON THE SEVERITY OF SELECTED SCENARIOS

"With so few banks have failed, investors will question whether the economic scenarios have been sufficiently severe," said Jon Peace, an analyst at Nomura.

"It is natural for investors to consider the margin with which banks have gone," he adds, citing the large margin of success of Scandinavian and British institutions, while banks Greek, Spanish and Italian 's have come out with more difficulty.

Then he was asked banks to manage to maintain a solvency ratio of less than 6% to pass the test, Sept. 10 institutions reported a Tier 1 ratio between only 6 and 7%.

Among these facilities include Deutsche Postbank, Piraeus Bank, Allied Irish Banks, Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Banca UBI, Bankinter and eight small Spanish settlements.

If an objective test was to facilitate the financing contracts with banks recently met with difficulties in this area, schools still considered too risky could nevertheless continue to have problems, except to raise more capital.

"History is not necessarily complete, and if financing costs do not improve for some banks, then we would not be surprised to see additional resistance tests (carried out) by some central banks to future, "warns Jon Peace of Nomura.

As investors take position on the results of resistance testing Monday at the opening of markets, central bank governors and heads of Supervisors will meet in Switzerland to discuss the reform proposals on the strengthening of the capital own banks.

But after their success in tests of strength, European banks may find it difficult to argue that they can apply a stricter financial regulation.

"Banks are ready to begin implementing the new rules are necessary to strengthen the capital reserves and liquidity management of banks," also told Reuters Insider, after the publication of results of resistance testing, Vitor Constancio, Vice-President of the ECB.

Crude prices have come down on Wednesday after the announcement of an unexpected rise in crude inventories in the U.S. and very cautious statements of the President of the U.S. Federal Reserve on the economic situation.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude for delivery in September ended a decline of $ 1.02, or 1.31%, to 76.56 dollars a barrel.

U.S. crude reserves rose 400,000 barrels last week, when economists expected a drop instead of 1.4 million barrels.

In addition, the chairman of the Fed Ben Bernanke said Wednesday that the Fed was ready to take additional measures as necessary to sustain growth given the high level of uncertainty.

Wall Street finished up Friday, ending the week at its largest weekly increase since the beginning of the year when the new season begins Monday results.

The Dow Jones industrial average thirty biggest U.S. has been 0.58%, 58.73 points to 10,197.72, while the S & P 500 index fund managers, has awarded 7.68 points, 0 , 72%, to 1077.93.

Supported by the announcement that Google will be able to resume its activities in China, Nasdaq, heavily weighted in technology, advanced 21.05 points, 0.97% to 2196.45.

For the week, the Dow took 5.3%, the S & P gained 5.4% and the Nasdaq was up 5%.

"Investors are putting their concerns to the background because they expect a good season of results," said Stephen Massocca, managing director at Wedbush Morgan in San Francisco?

"But chances are that next week is volatile. The results could certainly good but the forecasts may not be."

Google announced on Friday that Chinese authorities had renewed his license, a decision that allows him to remain on the largest Internet market in the world.

The Internet portal closed up 2.39% to 467.46 dollars.

Alcoa will open Monday after closing the ball of quarterly results.Experts say the findings by the American aluminum should satisfy investors, even if the decline in metal prices has prompted analysts to revise their forecasts downward. Alcoa has been 2.05%.

A reversal of the trend, Johnson & Johnson dropped 1.37% to 60.54 dollars after announcing that it had recalled more Tylenol and prescription drugs after complaints from consumers.

PSA Peugeot Citroen announced a 16.9% jump in sales of vehicles in the first half, including a one-point increase its market share in Europe, which should increase over the year.

The first French car manufacturer and number two in European sales confirmed, however, anticipate a decline of about 9% of European car market, while China is expected to grow at double-digit pace in Latin America with a number.

PSA sales totaled 1.856 million units in the first half, including 1.618 million for assembled vehicles (+16.8%)

In Europe, PSA registrations rose 7.7% to 1.214 million units in the first half, giving a market share of 14.6%, up one point.

The group estimates that the global auto market grew 13% over the period, with leaps of 27% in China and 11% in Latin America contrasts with a fall of 27% in Germany, while France fared with an increase of 6%.

Automakers are preparing an overall drop in sales in the second half, with the gradual disappearance of scrap premiums and caution potential buyers respond to economic uncertainty.

In France, the new car registrations fell in May and June, marking the last stages of the effect of scrappage, reduced on 1 January 1000 to 750 euros and reduced to EUR 500 this month .

PSA, which will publish its interim results on July 28, said in April anticipate a largely positive EBIT in the first six months of the year instead of a simple return to the green before.

The group, whose sales growth has exceeded expectations in the first quarter, however, had warned that the environment might be difficult in Europe in the second half.

Renault will release its own trade performance Thursday.

PSA Action closed up 3.63% to 21.56 euros on Tuesday, giving a market capitalization of 5.05 billion euros. It lost 8.9% since the beginning of the year after surging 95% in 2009.

Retail sales in the euro area rebounded in May after heavy fall in April, despite the credit crunch which has affected consumer confidence, show statistics released Monday by Eurostat.

Retail sales in the 16 countries adopting the single currency rose 0.2% after a decline of 0.9% the previous month (revised from -1.2%), but show an unexpected increase 0.3% over one year, after -0.5% (revised from -1.5%) recorded in April.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast an average increase of 0.4% a month to month and a decline of 0.3% over one year.

Eurostat said that sales of food, beverages and tobacco rose 0.2% in May and 0.3% compared to last year.

For non-food products, the increase was 0.4% compared to April and 1.0% over one year.