US & World News

Wall Street closed higher Wednesday, a new set of economic indicators back feeding the hope that the Federal Reserve gave a new boost to the economy at its policy meeting in September.

But the fact is precisely that economic indicators have generally been disappointing Wall Street has been reluctant in the afternoon and the three major indexes are now spent in the red.

The Dow Jones gained 53.58 points (0.46%) to 11,613.53 points. The S & P 500 is 5.97 points (0.49%) to 1218.89 points. The Nasdaq Composite Index advances 3.35 points (0.13%) to 2579.46 points.

On the month, the Dow Jones loses 4.4%, the S & P gives 5.7% and the Nasdaq was down 6.4%.This is the worst month of the S & P since May 2010.

However, since the beginning of the year, the Dow shows a slight gain of 0.3%.The S & P 500, meanwhile, has still gained almost 9% in seven of the last eight sessions, led by sectors sensitive to the economic cycle.

The minutes of the meeting of the Fed's August 9, released Tuesday, shows that it has proposed a series of actions to support the U.S. economy at its meeting in early August, some members calling for bold action.

At annual meetings of Jackson Hole, held last week, the Fed chairman Ben Bernanke had said she would meet two days in September, instead of originally planned, to reflect on the possibilities of creating a new monetary stimulus.

In terms of statistics, job creation in the private sector in the United States were below expectations in August, according to the results of the monthly ADP released Wednesday. It was created 91,000 jobs in August, while the market was expecting 100,000.

Moreover, the index of purchasing managers in the Chicago area fell in August, slightly less than expected, while falling to the lowest since November 2009.The index published on Wednesday in August falls to 56.5 against 58.8 in July and a consensus on giving 53.5.

In contrast, industrial orders rose 2.4% in July in the United States, more than expected, driven upward by the strength of the transport sector, said Wednesday the Commerce Department.

The fact that, according to sources, the U.S. Department of Justice has hired Wednesday a procedure to block the sale of T-Mobile, U.S. subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom, AT & T, for reasons of respect for competition weighed on rating during the session.

AT & T lost 3.85% and the S & P Telecommunications 1.63%.

Some values ​​high tech weighed on the Nasdaq, which explains its low gain closure.Apple sold 1.32% and 2.7% Nvidia for example.

Good performance of industry, however, with their S & P gained 0.68%. Caterpillar is 1.3% and 1.1% Honeywell International.

The Russian gas group Gazprom said Tuesday a 42% increase in profits in the first quarter to 478.5 billion rubles (11.5 billion euros).

The markets did not expect that an average increase of 29%.

Revenues increased 38% to 1.317 billion rubles, the gas monopoly of European customers increased their purchases.

Analysts polled by Reuters on average expected a turnover of 1.259 billion rubles.

In a statement, Gazprom said its results were driven by an average increase of 21% of its gas tariffs from one year to another, as well as its diversification into energy.

The total gas sales rose 10% in the first quarter to 178.3 billion cubic meters.Sales in Russia remained stable at 102.5 billion m3, but exports to Europe rose by 8.4% to 46.6 billion m3, and those toward the former republics of the Soviet Union jumped 70.5% to 29 billion m3.

Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Christine Lagarde warned on Saturday against the risk of the global economy plunging into recession and called for a rapid and coordinated political action, particularly in restructuring European banks.

"The events of this summer showed that we were in a dangerous new phase," she said at the annual meetings of the Fed in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

"The stakes are clear: we are in danger of compromising a fragile recovery.We must act immediately. "

Advanced economies must develop long-term plans to control their debt, while ensuring that conservation measures will need not jeopardize the recovery, she added.

"Macroeconomic policy needs to support growth," said the former French Finance Minister in his first major speech since taking office as head of the IMF in July.

"Monetary policy also needs to be extremely flexible because the risk of recession is higher than inflation."

She stressed the need to restructure European banks.For her, the most effective way to effect a recapitalization would be "substantial", if possible through private channels or so through a form of European public funding.

She urged European countries to implement programs to reduce "credible" in their public deficits, relying in particular on the European Central Bank.

About the situation in the United States, she said that the need for long-term fiscal consolidation should not obscure the importance of supporting growth in the short term.

"Who can believe that commitments to reduce spending could survive a long stagnation, with unemployment still high and face the social discontent?"

Much criticized for his handling Simois since the earthquake and the nuclear accident in Fukushima, Naoto Kan throws in the towel. Naoto Kan waives his salary as prime minister of Japan as the nuclear crisis is not over.

Japanese Prime Minister, Naoto Kan, said Friday his resignation from the chairmanship of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ, in power) and his departure next week of the government. "Today (Friday), I resigned from my position as party chairman," he told MPs the DPJ. "Once a new president is elected, I will give up right away my prime minister and my government resign."

DPJ Secretary General Katsuya Okada, confirmed that the election of the successor of Naoto Kan will take place Monday morning. The winner will be elected prime minister, probably the next day by Parliament.In Japan, the president of the majority party in the Chamber of Deputies is assured of his appointment to head the government, even with a Senate controlled, as is the case today, by the opposition.

Fifth prime minister in five years, Naoto Kan, 64, elected in June 2010, finally threw in the towel after suffering for months attacks by the Conservative opposition, but also those of his own camp, to manage considered calamitous disaster of March 11. Fell to the lowest in the opinion polls, the leader of the center-left government is criticized for his hesitation and awkwardness face of disaster caused by the massive earthquake and the giant tsunami that devastated the coasts of northeastern Japan and caused a very serious nuclear accident at the plant in Fukushima.

Finance Minister Seiji Maehara to favorite Estates

In early June, Mr.Khan had promised to leave office after the Parliament had passed three bills close to his heart. The law on a supplementary budget for reconstruction in the affected areas was passed in July, and the two other texts, on the issuance of bonds to complete the budget and the development and use of renewable energy were adopted Friday.

"Today, important laws were passed. On June 2, I thought I'd pass the baton to a younger generation. The conditions are all met," he said. Referring to his record, Naoto Kan has acknowledged that there had been "very hard times." "I think I did what I had to do in very difficult circumstances," he added.

Among the favorites to succeed him include former foreign minister, Seiji Maehara, 49, the most popular with the Japanese in the polls, and the current finance minister, Yoshihiko Noda, 54, a supporter of increased the consumption tax, currently set at 5%. If elected, Seiji Maehara, who is on the other hand opposed any tax increase, will become the youngest Japanese prime minister since the Second World War.

European banks including Societe Generale and Dexia still suffer from their bad loans, but also another evil, more discreet: their dependence on debt markets to finance their operations.

Unlike some U.S. banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, which finance a larger share of loans with the deposits of their customers, private banks in Europe generally depend more on their loans in capital markets in the short term.

This exposes them to the whims of investors, may require a sudden interest rates higher for their money, or even remove it from the market place and the banks to thank you for a government bailout.

The sudden increases observed in recent weeks on the rates of short-term loan of some European banks in this respect revived memories of the 2008 financial crisis, when Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers collapsed in a liquidity shortage .

The recent turmoil highlighted the need for the European banks most vulnerable, to adjust their loan commitments that can actually pay their deposits.

"The European banking system must be redesigned and re-capitalized," said one institutional investor this money markets and based in New York, speaking on condition of anonymity to avoid offending customers.

Many banks have sought since the 2008 crisis, to raise their levels of deposits, with some difficulty.

In Europe, public banks and savings banks enjoy tax benefits because they can maintain their stranglehold on the market, said Rocco Huang, a professor at the University of Michigan.

The race then draws customers to higher costs, so that some institutions are turning to overseas, such as the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia, which recently expanded its network in Turkey.

FINANCING RISK

Fears about the financial health of European banks is easily exacerbated by their lack of transparency about their cash reserves, analysts said.Lack of clear data, investors resort to inadequate instruments, such as loan-deposit ratios ("loan-to-deposit ').

Dexia loans represent 2.5 times the sum of its deposits, according to data compiled by Keefe, Bruyette and Woods.For Societe Generale, the ratio "loan-to-deposit" is 1.2.

By comparison, loans JPMorgan use only two-thirds of it are lists of deposits under its customers.

To make up the difference, European banks therefore depend heavily on capital markets, including money market short-term, which can be risky in the current environment of distrust of investors.

The credit default swaps (CDS) – which measure the cost of insurance on default of payment – General Corporation has more than doubled in less than three months, reaching 303 basis points (bps) on August 19 against 138 bps on May 31, according to Markit.

At the same time, the share of the Company generally has lost about 49% of its value.For comparison, the CDS JPMorgan rose 75 bps to 125 bps, and the action has lost 21%.

This movement took place when a strong seller that major U.S. investment funds have withdrawn money market billions of dollars they previously injected in European banks through short-term loans.

In June and July, according to Fitch Ratings, the top ten funds have pulled 70 billion dollars (48.38 billion euros) or 18.4% of the money they had lent to banks Europe.

Finance is increasingly global, many of these funds have explained to need this cash if their investors wanted their money out of fear of failure to pay the United States.

This sudden loss of funding has forced banks to seek their dollars elsewhere, taking their rising borrowing costs in a way that seemed to indicate that they were in need of funding, said Mark Pawlak, strategist and vice president of Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.

Societe Generale then attempted to allay fears about its financial strength by providing investors with details on its balance sheet during a presentation on August 3.

"The bank has no liquidity problems, its activity is healthy and its investment capabilities are intact," he said last weekend Oudéa Frederick, CEO of Societe Generale, in an interview with Journal du Dimanche.

Neither Dexia nor Societe Generale have wished to comment during this analysis.

Brent crude was down more than $ 3 Monday, passing below 106 dollars, while the progress of Libyan rebel suggests a possible resumption of oil exports of the country.

Rebel fighters swept into the night from Sunday to Monday in Tripoli, the Libyan capital, where thousands of people took to the streets deserted by the forces of Muammar Gaddafi who have appeared against little resistance to the insurgents.

At 6:50 GMT, Brent North Sea yielded 3.40 dollars (3.13%) to 105.25 dollars.For his part, U.S. crude gave up about a dollar to 81.18 dollars, also sealed by the gloomy outlook of the global economy.

Before the outbreak of the uprising in Libya, the country, a member of OPEC produced about 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd), nearly 2% of world production.

Most of Libyan crude supplied European refineries and disruption of those exports has pushed the price of Brent crude to a peak of two and a half dollars to 127.02 in April.

Full recovery of Libyan production could take years but the rebels said they hoped a quick return to normal. Analysts said a production of one million bpd could be achievable in a few months.

Japan is considering a new intervention on the foreign exchange market to stem the rising yen, which reached a record high Friday against the dollar, the daily Nikkei reported Saturday.

If the yen continues to rise, the Japanese authorities will once again intervene in the market to slow the progression of the yen, the newspaper said without citing its sources.

Faced with the volatility of world markets, investors preferred safe haven on Friday as the yen. The dollar fell below 76.25 yen before rebounding.

Hewlett-Packard has made a bid Thursday to the British publisher of Autonomy software and mentioned the possible split in the group with his branch of PC.

HP has offered to buy all outstanding shares of Autonomy for the price of 42.11 dollars per share for a total transaction of $ 10.3 billion (7.1 billion euros).

He also announced the abandonment of its shelf TouchPad who has not had the expected success.

The group also sees a possible split with the PC industry, faced with slow growth and low margins.This is one of the largest divisions of HP but also one of the least profitable of the group.

The American manufacturer has announced a little earlier than expected revenues rose for the third quarter to $ 31.2 billion (2.17 billion euros) against 30.7 billion a year earlier in accordance with the expectations of Wall Street.

The group lowered its annual forecast for the third consecutive time.It now expects an annual turnover of between 127.2 and 127.6 billion dollars, against a previous estimate of between 129 and 130 billion.

The forecast of earnings per share was also down, with a range from 3.59 to 3.70 dollars against a previous forecast of at least 4.27 dollars.

The title, which closed down 6%, down 2.1% after closure of the exchanges on Wall Street.

Germany and France are convinced, the Tobin tax should be adopted in Europe. Yet critics are numerous, and markets are particularly skeptical.

This time is the right one? For years now that the tax on financial transactions is discussed in Europe, the leaders of the euro area has never been convincing. Tuesday night, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel said they would suggest that the European Union in September of a tax on financial transactions, "an obvious need" according to the German Chancellor. The two leaders did not specify the terms of this measure, but the French Minister of Economy, Baroin, and his German counterpart, Wolfgang Schäuble, confirmed to be working earnestly on the subject.The tax is "the subject of extensive work with the German Ministry of Finance," according to Bercy.

Many critics and fuzzy terms

For several months now that the European Commission relaunched the idea of ​​a European tax on financial transactions, which, if it was fixed between 0.01% and 0.001% of the transaction, would yield between 30 and 50 billion euros per year. MEPs had then voted by a large majority (529 for, 127 against). A tax as proposed by the Commission could fund the EU budget to alleviate the contributions of member states.

But this tax, partly designed to limit speculation, is not without its critics. Too easily circumvented, too complicated to implement, too risky …since its development in the late 70's by the economist James Tobin tax on financial transactions is routinely ostracized, especially by its critics assert the impossibility of setting up a different scale than the global . In fact, if the tax does not apply to all financial markets, it may benefit those who do not have adopted and which will recover, de facto, the flow of transactions. A warning given recently by the ECB President, Jean-Claude Trichet, who said that "a tax imposed in Europe and not elsewhere would result in a significant loss of activity for Europe."

London reservations

But this time, Brussels is certain, the project is expected to reduce the risk of outsourcing transactions with a plate large enough to avoid trade-offs between financial products.Arguments that clearly did not echo long-awaited in the British, the most resistant to the device. "The government will continue to conduct discussions with international partners (…) but otherwise the relevant transactions will simply move to countries that do not apply," he said including a spokesman for the UK Treasury Wednesday. But without the agreement of the United Kingdom, impossible to adopt the draft. Even the Berlin admits the tax on financial transactions should apply to the 27 EU members, assured the spokesman for the German government. According to the Irish Minister for Finance, the tax would ultimately very unlikely to achieve unanimity among member states."There will be many objections from countries with strong financial services sector, such as Luxembourg, the Netherlands, and even Paris," he argued.

Markets do not believe that half

Little appreciated in the early morning by the financial markets, this proposal was eventually discredited quickly by banks and stock traders who were quick to report their skepticism about the project. The association of German cooperative banks BVR, quoted by Reuters, said for example that the tax would fail to restore stability in the markets if it concerned only the euro area. "In the end, the financial sector has not suffered the ad simply because nobody believes," concludes one analyst Saxo Bank.

The Japanese economy contracted less than expected from April to June thanks to the quick restoration of supply chains after the earthquake of March, but the soaring yen and slower global growth darken the hopes of recovery.

Economists expect the third world economy sketch a rebound from July to September, with probably the growth rate the highest in developed countries, as exports and industrial production will return to their levels before the earthquake and tsunami that devastated the north.

According to official figures released Monday, the gross domestic product (GDP) fell 0.3% in the second quarter, after 0.9% from January to March.Economists on average had expected a contraction of 0.7%.

On an annualized basis, the economy contracted by 1.3%, while economists expected a decline of 2.6%.

These figures better than expected boosted the Tokyo Stock Exchange, which in turn took the road to recovery from the European and U.S. markets late last week with a gain of 1.37% for the Nikkei.

However, the impact of the debt crisis in the euro zone on global growth might deprive Japan of export opportunities they need to start from the front, while pushing up the yen, safe haven, which will complicate doubling the equation for exporting companies.

"The economy will show a recovery in the shape of 'V' between July and September when supply chains are recovering and will help boost exports," notes Yoshiki Shinkai, economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.

"But the momentum will weaken from October to December with the slowdown in the pace of recovery in external demand, even if (GDP) will not fall back into contraction.In fact, it is even possible that the global economy begins to sputter. "

Restocking AND PUBLIC INVESTMENT

In this context, the Japanese Minister of Economy Kaoru Yosano urged the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to help save the recovery by maintaining its strong liquidity injections and ultra-accommodative policy.

"We will closely monitor the impact that Japan's economy on the rise in the yen and the increasing uncertainty about global growth," he told reporters.

The yen, buoyed by the weak dollar, has appreciated by about 5% in just one month, approaching its historic high of 76.25 yen to the dollar, a level not taken into account by companies Japanese to build their profit forecasts.Around 0930 GMT Monday, the greenback was trading at 76.85 yen.

In the second quarter, the Japanese economy has performed better than expected thanks to the restocking of business and higher public investment, since the first six quarters, as part of the reconstruction effort.

Consumer spending, which accounts for 60% of the economy, fell 0.1% from April to June, down less than expected in favor of special items such as the transition to digital television that fueled TV sales.

But external demand – net exports – have reduced GDP by 0.8 percentage point, the disaster of March 11 that prevented some manufacturers deliver their products outside the archipelago.

And some analysts see the slow growth in business investment spending (+0.2% against 0.5% expected) a sign of their distrust of uncertainties about the economy.