Volatility bad when it reflects doubts, "said Walnut
The volatility of exchange rates, capital flows or commodity prices is not necessarily bad but may become so if it reflects investors' doubts about political choices, said Saturday Christian Noyer, the governor of Bank of France.
Changes in exchange rates between major currencies, that capital flows to emerging markets and the impact on currencies and rates of policies pursued by the major economies of concern to investors for several months and will be at heart of debates G20, chaired by France in 2011.
Speaking at a conference on international monetary system in Paris, Christian Noyer declined to directly addressing the current market volatility of sovereign debt.
He simply said, about the hypothesis of a failure of a State on its debt, that "financial markets are paying a higher default rate of interest."
"In fact, failure costs much more than the failure to fail," he said.
For Christian Noyer, the definition of new rules and new devices to prevent "external shocks" will be a priority for the G20 in 2011.
"Volatility is not necessarily a bad thing," he said."To some extent, it is a sign of a well-functioning financial markets."
He said the volatility "becomes a problem when it results from a policy and financial markets contribute to aggravating the shock rather than mitigation."
"We could find ourselves in this situation now because there are doubts about the consistency of these strategies pursued by the major economies," said Christian Noyer.
"It has been observed in recent weeks, some countries tended to publicly challenge the policies of currency or exchange each other.I doubt that will achieve a good result, "he added.
He also stressed the importance for the G20 to develop tools to mitigate the impact of reserve accumulation by some countries.
In the Tribune on Wednesday, Christian Noyer, who sits on the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), voted in favor of creating new sources of liquidity to alleviate the pressure associated with the accumulation of reserves.