Consumption has increased U.S. growth in Q3
The U.S. economy grew in the third quarter at an annualized rate of 2.0% against 1.7% in the second quarter, thanks to an improvement in household consumption, according to figures released Friday by the first estimate by the Department of trade.
Analysts and economists surveyed by Reuters had forecast a gross domestic product (GDP) up 2.0%
This figure is not high enough to call into question the assumption of a new program of monetary easing that could be decided by the Federal Reserve at its next meeting on November 2 and 3.However, in view of economic performance, the debate should be more nuanced.
"The economy is in recovery, but at a sluggish pace and it will probably help the Fed in its deliberations on Tuesday," said Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer Hugh Johnson Advisors.
These figures may provide some support to the U.S. government's mid-term election Tuesday, which looks very difficult for the Democrats.
The U.S. economy, emerging from its longest recession since the 30s, grew for the fifth consecutive quarter.However, progress is currently not sufficient to significantly reduce the unemployment rate to 9.6%.
According to economists, only a growth of 3.5% over several quarters, supported by domestic demand and strong exports, could help to lower the unemployment rate.
"Growth is still positive, but it is a bit disappointing. At this stage of recovery, one would have expected a better performance," said Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates.
CONSUMPTION AND STOCKS HAVE WORN THE GROWTH
Consumption, up 2.6%, its fastest pace since the fourth quarter of 2006, has broadly supported growth in the third quarter, adding 1.79 percentage points to GDP. She was in the previous quarter stood at 2.2%.However, they are more imports than domestic production, which responded to the increased demand.
Business investment grew at a rate of 9.7%, after rising by 17.2% during the second quarter of 2010. The recovery in business inventories was particularly helped sustain U.S. growth, adding 1.44 percentage points to GDP, with an increase of 115.5 billion, against an increase of 68.8 billion the previous quarter .
Excluding inventories, the U.S. economy grew only 0.6% over the quarter. On the same basis, it had increased 0.9% last quarter.